NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4329a3c724d42c584f510388e4963cdfea294106df6ce1d37da91a4a65f53491
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Heat, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $149,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $146,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Magic | 63c | 52,571$33,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,304.64 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Heat | 36c | 30,097$10,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,983.26 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Magic | 64c | 10,858$6,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,917.29 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Heat | 21c | 9,187$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.91 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Heat | 23c | 8,316$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.37 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Heat | 36c | 7,495$2,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,714.46 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Heat | 23c | 7,021$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.02 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Heat | 35c | 5,983$2,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068.33 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Magic | 63c | 4,302$2,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.54 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Heat | 35c | 3,817$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.65 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Heat | 22c | 3,107$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.07 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Magic | 66c | 3,045$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.25 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Heat | 5c | 3,000$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.17 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Magic | 61c | 2,879$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.99 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Heat | 37c | 2,561$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.02 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Magic | 76c | 2,398$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.08 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Heat | 1c | 1,550$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xace2…8fe6backed Magic | 66c | 1,518$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.18 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa216…179bbacked Heat | 36c | 1,447$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.75 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Magic | 67c | 1,321$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.22 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Heat | 34c | 1,235$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.51 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Heat | 2c | 1,228$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Heat | 37c | 1,067$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.35 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe08f…05bdbacked Heat | 14c | 1,032$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Heat | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Magic | 59c | 852.63$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.16 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Heat | 25c | 753.11$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.09 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Heat | 38c | 704$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.28 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Magic | 72c | 681.21$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.18 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…8ab1backed Magic | 66c | 618.86$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.41 | 107 | 69.2%74 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Heat | 39c | 618.61$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.41 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Heat | 27c | 606.96$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Heat | 42c | 568.14$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.98 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…f27ebacked Heat | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f77ebacked Heat | 6c | 500.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Heat | 33c | 406.06$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Heat | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Magic | 58c | 370.15$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.91 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Magic | 72c | 308$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.66 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Heat | 27c | 302$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.54 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magic | 64c | 296$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Heat | 34c | 280.57$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.65 | 267 | 49.8%133 W · 134 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Heat | 39c | 257.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Magic | 73c | 249.99$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Magic | 78c | 238.6$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.39 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Heat | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea84…f801backed Heat | 44c | 238.08$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d6…36cbbacked Heat | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Magic | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Magic | 71c | 199.98$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2dd…61dcbacked Heat | 29c | 184.72$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.38 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc140…ac80backed Magic | 65c | 179.69$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 149 | 47%70 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…faacbacked Heat | 8c | 165$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Heat | 10c | 158.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Magic | 65c | 158.58$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.17 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Heat | 31c | 155$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Heat | 36c | 152.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.85 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Magic | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0622backed Heat | 28c | 140.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Heat | 21c | 138.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Heat | 21c | 134.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -18.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Heat | 24c | 104.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 347 | 47%163 W · 184 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe366…f611backed Magic | 62c | 101.05$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Heat | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 382 | 39.5%151 W · 231 L | +35.9wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Heat | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 320 | 41.9%134 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x687a…f04cbacked Heat | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c32…f103backed Heat | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Heat | 16c | 88.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Magic | 66c | 84.85$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 288 | 44.8%129 W · 159 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Heat | 13c | 81.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 84 | 28.6%24 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Magic | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 258 | 36.8%95 W · 163 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Magic | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Magic | 71c | 66.2$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Magic | 80c | 64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb73c…d1afbacked Heat | 18c | 61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcad…5078backed Heat | 28c | 57.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x992e…245fbacked Magic | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x858a…c4bebacked Heat | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9581…1232backed Magic | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Heat | 45c | 44.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 230 | 42.6%98 W · 132 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffb8…646dbacked Heat | 30c | 44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 107 | 20.6%22 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Heat | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09fa…c9ffbacked Magic | 76c | 41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Magic | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 342 | 46.8%160 W · 182 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe05e…1ab8backed Magic | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc757…f18cbacked Magic | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Magic | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4473…c215backed Magic | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Magic | 72c | 25.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a56…695bbacked Magic | 73c | 17.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Magic | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Magic | 78c | 14.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.18 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1b…ea35backed Magic | 76c | 13.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Magicthis page
- Heat vs. Magic: O/U 230.5Under won
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-5.5)Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.