TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe91f…2766

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Middle East, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 57 out of 100; worst NHL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1675%12 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+33.6%+$5.18
LoL: Los Ratones vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.44
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.63
LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+76.4%+$10.31
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+37%+$27.11
LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$11.55
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+44.9%+$9.54
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+52.7%+$6.1
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$17.37
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+131.6%+$23.55
LoL: DN Freecs vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+44.9%+$5.2
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+54.3%+$6.28
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+44.7%+$6.9
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.52
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.27
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+57%+$7.7
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.86
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.23
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+83.9%+$15.33
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+130.3%+$13.41
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.59
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+77.9%+$10.74
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$7.99
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.88
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.53
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.7
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+315.5%+$32.48
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.17
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+181.9%+$29.51
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.4%+$4.8
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$106.54
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.32
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.55
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$19.99
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+91.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+127.3%+$14.66
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+56.3%+$6.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+27.6%+$8.57
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+57.3%+$14.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+55.8%+$15.71
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+125.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+125.7%+$47.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 50°F or higher on February 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+33.8%+$9.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Ternuvate by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Wildbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$13.51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.