Token Launches · resolved market
Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase before 2027?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ff7ff0d083b4b81429b01a63bf2c8e3654c4c13d632761337af76a97b50662f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed No | 0c | 4,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 166 | 2.4%4 W · 162 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb510…271bbacked No | 0c | 4,500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 3,012$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 1c | 1,898$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 46 | 2.2%1 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 2c | 1,505$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 233 | 3.4%8 W · 225 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866f…d410backed No | 8c | 1,500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…05d0backed No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…e84dbacked Yes | 80c | 754.63$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed No | 28c | 542.95$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.72 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed No | 17c | 500$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed No | 20c | 408.75$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.75 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…d4a9backed No | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc934…5551backed No | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2edb…9ac5backed Yes | 73c | 272.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.71 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed12…c018backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 26c | 199.97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 463 | 20.5%95 W · 368 L | -68.1wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x28e3…881abacked Yes | 74c | 135.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe038…53f5backed Yes | 73c | 134.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d8…6082backed No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd3…4193backed No | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c0…17b5backed Yes | 71c | 92.13$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 26c | 76.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2eb…c299backed Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 58cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xddd1…d197backed No | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…ebefbacked Yes | 75c | 49.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 21c | 49.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x130d…d84dbacked Yes | 75c | 24.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…77b1backed Yes | 79c | 20.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae5…40e1backed Yes | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.