Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
James Madison Dukes vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60acc22d9bae3d1781935d066a56982678dab50f70868f2acca7be0233ebfd3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Southern Miss Golden Eaglesof James Madison Dukes, Southern Miss Golden Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,267 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked James Madison Dukes | 2c | 9,993$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.86 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed James Madison Dukes | 57c | 4,615$2,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650.96 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 42c | 4,339$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked James Madison Dukes | 4c | 2,090$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.37 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed James Madison Dukes | 2c | 1,943$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…17c3backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 13c | 700$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc934…5551backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 8c | 500$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,150%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc461…83dbbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 8c | 500$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 6cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x359f…fa80backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 8c | 400$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked James Madison Dukes | 4c | 342.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…191bbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 12c | 312.18$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.21 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf50d…7ba8backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 8c | 300$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…6ddcbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 8c | 300$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…22a0backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 8c | 300$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 8c | 300$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 5cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…e860backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 45c | 220.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.16 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…53e7backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 8c | 200$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 13c | 160$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 47 | 10.6%5 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…8936backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 13c | 160$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 38c | 120$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd3…1e9bbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 38c | 117.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.74 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked James Madison Dukes | 13c | 117.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…d3dfbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4c13backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 45c | 46.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.