Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs. Denver Pioneers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x784b9267c87ec0f7c819f5ee8c830ad19ec9bf29de9b69ba473be0b190f33b95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Dakota Fighting Hawksof North Dakota Fighting Hawks, Denver Pioneers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Denver Pioneers | 31c | 1,754$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.16 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 52c | 971$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.69 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Denver Pioneers | 67c | 935.28$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.16 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 72c | 583$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.39 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Denver Pioneers | 54c | 542.88$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.68 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 77c | 426.98$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Denver Pioneers | 68c | 350.56$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.98 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 30c | 342.6$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.1 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae6a…faf4backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 32c | 314.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.31 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 78c | 185$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Denver Pioneers | 69c | 170.03$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.46 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…6190backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 59c | 169.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.51 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +121.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 64c | 147$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 36c | 139.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.72 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Denver Pioneers | 9c | 121.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 78c | 115.76$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.94 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Denver Pioneers | 43c | 101.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Denver Pioneers | 63c | 95.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 28c | 94.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.37 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 38c | 79.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.17 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Denver Pioneers | 66c | 73.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 37c | 68.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Denver Pioneers | 27c | 67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 31c | 65.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Denver Pioneers | 63c | 64.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Denver Pioneers | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 60c | 57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 35c | 55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 53c | 54.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Denver Pioneers | 55c | 51.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 37c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd682…1ae2backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 32c | 47.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 34c | 41.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 37c | 36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b6…fe49backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Denver Pioneers | 63c | 17.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs. Denver Pioneersthis page
- Spread: Denver Pioneers (-4.5)North Dakota Fighting Hawks won
- Spread: Denver Pioneers (-5.5)North Dakota Fighting Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.