TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Panathinaikos

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Maccabi Tel Avivof Maccabi Tel Aviv, Panathinaikos
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,116
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,195

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,116 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xda35…ff0ebacked Panathinaikos56c7,820$4,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,366.25349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa83b…0e4abacked Panathinaikos54c7,625$4,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,096.281346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv53c6,699$3,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,134.621369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Panathinaikos53c5,236$2,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,775.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e5b…6eb8backed Panathinaikos43c4,504$1,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,942.24450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv45c3,740$1,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,054.3710050%50 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Maccabi Tel Aviv43c2,062$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.2931651.6%163 W · 153 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Panathinaikos52c2,036$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.5514847.3%70 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv46c2,018$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.2313548.9%66 W · 69 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Maccabi Tel Aviv59c1,802$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.9637052.7%195 W · 175 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Maccabi Tel Aviv59c1,776$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.1536939.8%147 W · 222 L+1.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x555a…a8f9backed Panathinaikos55c1,616$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9edc…b088backed Maccabi Tel Aviv46c1,500$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.1311835.6%42 W · 76 L+10.8wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+27%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Maccabi Tel Aviv54c1,474$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.951643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Maccabi Tel Aviv46c1,247$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.910945.9%50 W · 59 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Maccabi Tel Aviv52c1,186$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.3854251.5%279 W · 263 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed Maccabi Tel Aviv49c1,036$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.04728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-46%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Maccabi Tel Aviv47c890.65$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.7743543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Maccabi Tel Aviv68c873$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.372556%14 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Maccabi Tel Aviv47c834.87$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.48757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Maccabi Tel Aviv63c761.73$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.7726544.5%118 W · 147 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Maccabi Tel Aviv47c733.83$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.938037.5%30 W · 50 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Panathinaikos15c670$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.192450%12 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+41.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Maccabi Tel Aviv46c550$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2975040%20 W · 30 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv48c495.83$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.837741.6%32 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Panathinaikos48c479.93$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.2813235.6%47 W · 85 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Maccabi Tel Aviv48c450.07$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.9827557.5%158 W · 117 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Maccabi Tel Aviv47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.537159.2%42 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv60c419.99$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.118144.2%80 W · 101 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Panathinaikos45c419.37$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.54841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Panathinaikos43c417.93$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.24351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca73…b02ebacked Panathinaikos24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Maccabi Tel Aviv46c402.46$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.3313147.3%62 W · 69 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x586d…c5dcbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv47c388.3$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.81250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Maccabi Tel Aviv55c381.98$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.0814447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Maccabi Tel Aviv59c355.64$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.5412268.9%84 W · 38 L+15.5wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+19.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0f99…3406backed Maccabi Tel Aviv47c319.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.155100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+90.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf26b…f3b8backed Panathinaikos46c313.8$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.481822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15fe…c871backed Panathinaikos40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+84.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadf3…504fbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.19450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x624b…6190backed Panathinaikos51c287.5$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb740…2ec1backed Maccabi Tel Aviv52c286.97$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Panathinaikos53c285.33$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Maccabi Tel Aviv47c261.19$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.0514542.1%61 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed Maccabi Tel Aviv48c244.4$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.091947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Maccabi Tel Aviv47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.771266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.771650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf688…9595backed Panathinaikos52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Panathinaikos27c176.81$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.34660.9%28 W · 18 L+6.2wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+47.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0cde…6040backed Panathinaikos53c164.81$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Panathinaikos51c152$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.521428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-51.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x728a…a75cbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv58c150$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Maccabi Tel Aviv56c142.97$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3610451.9%54 W · 50 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6519…76cabacked Maccabi Tel Aviv42c139.62$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.734050%20 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Maccabi Tel Aviv50c139.53$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6631446.2%145 W · 169 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Panathinaikos45c128.56$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.631729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8854…070cbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv55c109.9$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.38560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Maccabi Tel Aviv47c104.01$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.962035%7 W · 13 L-3.9wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-42.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0f1c…0dd0backed Panathinaikos51c102$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.02633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-50%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85a4…7412backed Panathinaikos54c92.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71ac…5fd6backed Panathinaikos53c91$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.287247.2%34 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x573e…e08abacked Panathinaikos25c81.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Maccabi Tel Aviv54c76.06$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3612041.7%50 W · 70 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Maccabi Tel Aviv79c74.39$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6112454%67 W · 57 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcff…b4dcbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv50c71.62$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.021250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x452d…f886backed Panathinaikos29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv49c67.28$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.435234.7%122 W · 230 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2556…07a6backed Panathinaikos54c62.96$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aba…2584backed Maccabi Tel Aviv52c57.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Panathinaikos54c57.22$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8559…0602backed Panathinaikos50c56.46$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0330%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Panathinaikos49c53.88$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.15955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+56.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b98…e5d1backed Maccabi Tel Aviv57c53.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.88977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Panathinaikos29c53.17$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.432133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Maccabi Tel Aviv47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.53836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Panathinaikos50c49.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.147733.8%26 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x684b…47edbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv49c48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick61cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…8be8backed Panathinaikos31c47.37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.871040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8204…61d9backed Maccabi Tel Aviv49c47$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.97475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+24%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a04…5830backed Maccabi Tel Aviv56c46.55$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.35250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed Maccabi Tel Aviv48c45.29$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.712236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Panathinaikos33c45.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.892748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv46c42.94$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.041643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6da0…48f9backed Maccabi Tel Aviv53c41.51$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked Panathinaikos55c40.67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe219…55babacked Maccabi Tel Aviv51c38.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.072100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3903…6058backed Maccabi Tel Aviv51c34.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.241553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fff…665bbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv47c31.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.73333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca0…7ebebacked Panathinaikos51c31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.81616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick48cpaid-73.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2694…415abacked Panathinaikos54c30.95$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf48c…e4dabacked Maccabi Tel Aviv61c29.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.58475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x705d…3438backed Maccabi Tel Aviv51c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.211060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+29.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x07eb…4b4cbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv49c29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.872100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+134.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40da…0b85backed Maccabi Tel Aviv48c26.6$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.831442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa854…6e4fbacked Panathinaikos54c25.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8843…a5d2backed Panathinaikos54c24.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x279b…7d84backed Maccabi Tel Aviv49c23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.73475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv49c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.22580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+38.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x194f…81b6backed Maccabi Tel Aviv49c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.224100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+87.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.