TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

North Dakota State Bison vs. Oral Roberts Golden Eagles

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
North Dakota State Bisonof North Dakota State Bison, Oral Roberts Golden Eagles
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,678
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,308

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,678 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ffe…9f71backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles0c5,463$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3929012.1%35 W · 255 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19a0…ac39backed North Dakota State Bison78c3,464$2,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.2618654.3%101 W · 85 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Oral Roberts Golden Eagles20c1,980$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.162,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Oral Roberts Golden Eagles23c1,766$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.761,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Oral Roberts Golden Eagles20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020026%52 W · 148 L+0.2wins0.00per pick26cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed North Dakota State Bison80c1,374$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.732,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles22c992$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.1460548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked North Dakota State Bison78c807.43$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.642,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked North Dakota State Bison80c724.08$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.8287047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Oral Roberts Golden Eagles21c712.14$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.0652928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Oral Roberts Golden Eagles22c551$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.221,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked North Dakota State Bison78c513.4$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.381,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed North Dakota State Bison79c321.75$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.726940.6%28 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x624b…6190backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles67c187.7$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+121.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed North Dakota State Bison80c183$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.63,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles22c175.33$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.372,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Oral Roberts Golden Eagles14c160$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x725f…cea7backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles20c147.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.596065%39 W · 21 L+8.6wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+25.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed North Dakota State Bison70c138.97$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.455,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked North Dakota State Bison80c127.95$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.591,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles25c127.65$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.431,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4bc…963cbacked North Dakota State Bison80c96$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.25869%40 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick71cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles29c80.78$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1412617.5%22 W · 104 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-46.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87de…6e5bbacked Oral Roberts Golden Eagles37c54.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206440.6%26 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Oral Roberts Golden Eagles21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.52,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed North Dakota State Bison78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1118147%85 W · 96 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked Oral Roberts Golden Eagles21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.59144%40 W · 51 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x983a…ac6bbacked North Dakota State Bison76c43.42$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.428245.1%37 W · 45 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…223ebacked Oral Roberts Golden Eagles30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123324.2%8 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed North Dakota State Bison76c33.89$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.133,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe93…8d0ebacked Oral Roberts Golden Eagles39c29.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.613043.3%13 W · 17 L-4.6wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-33.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked North Dakota State Bison76c19.21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.614,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed North Dakota State Bison79c15.6$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.2829442.9%126 W · 168 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.