Champions League · resolved market
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc07cc04c5461b1bc90e498db0c6679921e04ba415463e462f6437737b2556d91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 4,290$3,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.08 | 594 | 41.8%248 W · 346 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 24c | 4,167$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 2,592$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.47 | 614 | 47.2%290 W · 324 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 2,444$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.29 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 24c | 1,078$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.7 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed No | 77c | 1,054$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.42 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 11c | 672.79$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.65 | 236 | 37.3%88 W · 148 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x741a…4dbebacked Yes | 23c | 522$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.06 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 76c | 416.66$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes | 25c | 302.3$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.57 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 23c | 292.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.39 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 94 | 26.6%25 W · 69 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 24c | 210$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…6190backed Yes | 26c | 194.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +129.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 25c | 183.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 75c | 154.73$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…d3c7backed Yes | 21c | 143.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 76c | 141.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…9f00backed No | 74c | 108.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 73cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d9…2f4abacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 60 | 8.3%5 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 16c | 88.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 76c | 87.16$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 23c | 85.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…7b6fbacked Yes | 24c | 84.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a42…34d8backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69a…0c4abacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed Yes | 24c | 82.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 24c | 81.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +5.7wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd302…0311backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Yes | 25c | 79.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 29c | 75.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Yes | 24c | 71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed No | 77c | 66.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 68 | 67.6%46 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 16c | 63.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 23c | 59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 23c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 137 | 59.1%81 W · 56 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed No | 70c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 77c | 51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce1…19f3backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7037…7cc8backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9349…0486backed Yes | 24c | 44.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Yes | 26c | 41.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed No | 76c | 40.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72ce…c9b5backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed No | 77c | 32.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked No | 77c | 31.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 76c | 31.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 591 | 36.5%216 W · 375 L | -30.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 75c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 75c | 25.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 76cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 75c | 22.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1c…a6adbacked No | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 76c | 19.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 631 | 50.2%317 W · 314 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a7…4293backed No | 67c | 19.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed No | 76c | 18.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea2…883abacked No | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed No | 77c | 17.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-28?No won
- Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.