Euroleague · resolved market
Real Madrid vs. Maccabi Tel Aviv
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e1e8c8114fec371fdd6fb3cb21e774fb5ae18309412fd265328a453f282cd00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Madridof Real Madrid, Maccabi Tel Aviv
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Real Madrid | 72c | 3,495$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.67 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 23c | 2,130$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Real Madrid | 77c | 1,630$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.7 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Real Madrid | 79c | 1,489$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.78 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 19c | 1,420$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.71 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 19c | 1,400$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.56 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 26c | 988.47$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.97 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 29c | 932$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.18 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Real Madrid | 79c | 923$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.83 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Real Madrid | 72c | 680.29$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.45 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…9467backed Real Madrid | 69c | 679.99$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.8 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 69cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Real Madrid | 78c | 669.15$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.21 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5e…e946backed Real Madrid | 77c | 660$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 21c | 595.01$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.5 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 34c | 583$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.48 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 33c | 502.02$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.32 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 27c | 487.43$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.69 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…2f9cbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 20c | 480$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Real Madrid | 75c | 476.73$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.95 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96a7…a2f0backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 22c | 473.04$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0623…4e38backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 21c | 470.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 22c | 454.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Real Madrid | 79c | 400$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.25 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Real Madrid | 69c | 361.05$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.01 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Real Madrid | 70c | 333.48$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.57 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Real Madrid | 79c | 312.99$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.11 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 30c | 306.92$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Real Madrid | 68c | 278.53$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…3438backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 37c | 244.05$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +98.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973d…318fbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 19c | 220.49$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 46c | 214.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b23…a0fdbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 33c | 200$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 31c | 199$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Real Madrid | 78c | 197.43$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Real Madrid | 74c | 193$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.57 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 25c | 182$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 22c | 164.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 30c | 135.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6519…76cabacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 21c | 130$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cc…3a42backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfab8…c3b0backed Real Madrid | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 19c | 118.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 20c | 112$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Real Madrid | 80c | 109$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Real Madrid | 72c | 90$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Real Madrid | 69c | 86.73$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 21c | 85.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Real Madrid | 80c | 79$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Real Madrid | 78c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Real Madrid | 72c | 63.25$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…f023backed Real Madrid | 79c | 62.25$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c9…16e8backed Real Madrid | 80c | 61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed Real Madrid | 79c | 54.43$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 19c | 52.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9f…ee16backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 39c | 51.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 21c | 51.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Real Madrid | 75c | 49.76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Real Madrid | 65c | 37.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Real Madrid | 76c | 26.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Real Madrid | 74c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3e…1543backed Real Madrid | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Real Madrid | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…6e99backed Real Madrid | 80c | 18.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.