Tennis · resolved market
ITF Hillcrest: Elena Jamshidi vs Mika Buchnik
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf61cb034095b32487fdefb3647e04843532e89145e3bf899e8c26b57af90674c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mika Buchnikof Elena Jamshidi, Mika Buchnik
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,268
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mika Buchnik | 72c | 1,092$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.84 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Elena Jamshidi | 20c | 990$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Elena Jamshidi | 32c | 838.54$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.9 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Mika Buchnik | 58c | 632.76$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.76 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Mika Buchnik | 65c | 307.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.78 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Mika Buchnik | 68c | 303.13$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Elena Jamshidi | 32c | 162.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Elena Jamshidi | 20c | 154$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Elena Jamshidi | 32c | 140.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Elena Jamshidi | 20c | 130$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Mika Buchnik | 56c | 123.21$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.21 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Mika Buchnik | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Elena Jamshidi | 26c | 72.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Elena Jamshidi | 31c | 72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Mika Buchnik | 78c | 64.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 363 | 78.2%284 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Elena Jamshidi | 22c | 64.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Elena Jamshidi | 30c | 60.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Elena Jamshidi | 34c | 56.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Elena Jamshidi | 31c | 50.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Mika Buchnik | 55c | 48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Elena Jamshidi | 32c | 43.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Mika Buchnik | 72c | 43.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Mika Buchnik | 58c | 42.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Elena Jamshidi | 26c | 41.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Elena Jamshidi | 30c | 40.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Elena Jamshidi | 30c | 36.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Elena Jamshidi | 30c | 36.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Mika Buchnik | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Mika Buchnik | 66c | 30.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Mika Buchnik | 65c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Elena Jamshidi | 44c | 28.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Mika Buchnik | 55c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Mika Buchnik | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…0d3abacked Mika Buchnik | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.