Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa92f4d6dda966eae65ef7f9dba5873e7faab7d0f54874415e41ee417fdfeedbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,462
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 6c | 1,731$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.16 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Yes | 22c | 1,379$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.92 | 87 | 5.7%5 W · 82 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 15c | 1,150$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.86 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,083$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.58 | 122 | 32.8%40 W · 82 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 24c | 753.61$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.57 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 27c | 751.55$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.49 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4088…0da3backed Yes | 25c | 702.48$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.06 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…5a0fbacked No | 79c | 683$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.31 | 601 | 27.3%164 W · 437 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 80c | 663.76$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.65 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa6…4094backed Yes | 11c | 616.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 307 | 14%43 W · 264 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…4466backed Yes | 27c | 590.46$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 423 | 12.5%53 W · 370 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 23c | 537$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.75 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1849…137ebacked Yes | 23c | 427.23$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ab…e99cbacked No | 76c | 409.03$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.43 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed No | 73c | 399.98$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 63 | 81%51 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 75cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1907…8174backed Yes | 5c | 387.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…ed0bbacked Yes | 27c | 367.76$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 91 | 16.5%15 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 4c | 355.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 11c | 301.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 19c | 266.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 10c | 244.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 71c | 213.96$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.84 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee38…fd31backed No | 71c | 211.04$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.96 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 17c | 209.36$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked Yes | 32c | 200.17$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.18 | 442 | 27.4%121 W · 321 L | -21.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac5f…cd03backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x652e…4a94backed Yes | 9c | 195.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 133 | 23.3%31 W · 102 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 76c | 187.37$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa598…2ff3backed Yes | 21c | 175.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 34c | 174.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.89 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e4…8171backed Yes | 29c | 170.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x440a…0ae9backed Yes | 35c | 144.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 34c | 138.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…bc0dbacked No | 68c | 137.56$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x396b…560abacked Yes | 33c | 122.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f83…0e8dbacked Yes | 12c | 121$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 18c | 119.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 430 | 27%116 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d9…c06abacked Yes | 30c | 116.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 74c | 112.27$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 11c | 111.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -33.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…d6edbacked No | 68c | 110$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x872f…ab24backed Yes | 40c | 109.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…9aebbacked Yes | 36c | 100.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 241 | 14.1%34 W · 207 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe953…a4f9backed Yes | 29c | 100.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…97c1backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc35f…f0e6backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 407 | 19.7%80 W · 327 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cf…66c3backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xede3…2f81backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa6…0b79backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9480…6797backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc245…bccbbacked No | 79c | 98.71$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Yes | 33c | 95.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 70c | 76.83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 15c | 74.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 395 | 18.7%74 W · 321 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…510dbacked No | 71c | 71.72$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9855…6c89backed No | 66c | 71.1$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 35c | 68.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26a…e5b1backed Yes | 37c | 64.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…eacabacked Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 214 | 29.9%64 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 205 | 32.7%67 W · 138 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe179…63e9backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…59c6backed Yes | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…d13ebacked No | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d8…be73backed Yes | 39c | 38.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2d…f77fbacked No | 71c | 38.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 99 | 19.2%19 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…d968backed Yes | 29c | 38.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e97…4828backed Yes | 33c | 30.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 388 | 28.6%111 W · 277 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 71c | 28.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7748…58d7backed No | 66c | 25.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…0d3abacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 334 | 15.6%52 W · 282 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…4e7dbacked No | 65c | 22.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b0…d650backed No | 69c | 20.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cc04backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…b832backed No | 72c | 13.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…a9cabacked No | 77c | 13.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.