Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e2d7434ea25099c7e60bae2975736c0db32016b6e5f4ca2aedbe6e7c0603df7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 4,657$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 2,160 | 3.9%85 W · 2,075 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked No | 9c | 4,294$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393 | 122 | 32.8%40 W · 82 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 35c | 1,290$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.12 | 2,545 | 13.2%335 W · 2,210 L | +4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 16c | 803.24$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.39 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 3c | 799.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 18c | 690.08$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.3 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 18c | 649.98$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.59 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 44c | 642.26$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.87 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…4466backed Yes | 26c | 590.52$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.52 | 423 | 12.5%53 W · 370 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f83…e34bbacked Yes | 47c | 559.54$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 64c | 537.18$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.18 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b11…5a66backed No | 19c | 537.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed No | 76c | 400$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 63 | 81%51 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 75cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe953…a4f9backed Yes | 50c | 399.95$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.45 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 12c | 343.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 405 | 19.8%80 W · 325 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 57c | 338.05$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.65 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1849…137ebacked Yes | 44c | 304$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.74 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa14a…df2abacked No | 50c | 300$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.3 | 562 | 8.9%50 W · 512 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc8…4676backed Yes | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…5a0fbacked No | 69c | 293.68$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.77 | 599 | 27%162 W · 437 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7748…58d7backed No | 39c | 270.42$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.27 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 35c | 264.46$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.64 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…57c4backed No | 53c | 246$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.37per pick | 49cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee38…fd31backed No | 75c | 225.45$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7d…8b5abacked No | 40c | 203.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed No | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…21b9backed Yes | 25c | 199.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked Yes | 27c | 199.9$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.04 | 442 | 27.4%121 W · 321 L | -21.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…d809backed No | 58c | 180.95$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e4…8171backed Yes | 30c | 169.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 67c | 151$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.72 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ff…57d7backed Yes | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 35c | 141.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.67 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9349…0486backed Yes | 49c | 138.35$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.97 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x440a…0ae9backed Yes | 42c | 130.95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.95 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ab…e293backed Yes | 77c | 130.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 12c | 120$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 272 | 7%19 W · 253 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…d4febacked Yes | 61c | 110.15$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.96 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08d9…b543backed Yes | 37c | 107.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 47c | 102.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -33.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 71c | 100.06$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.9 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cf…66c3backed Yes | 32c | 100.01$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.9 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.67 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +108%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…97c1backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7172…5e45backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…bdaebacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xede3…2f81backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8d…189cbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 30cpaid | +153%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf77b…42e9backed No | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29e4…16a6backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2821…399ebacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e70…9e8bbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa539…c217backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +64%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e50…98f0backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 330 | 27.9%92 W · 238 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9480…6797backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 31c | 97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.93 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37b3…062cbacked Yes | 47c | 96.67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.16 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 31c | 95.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.63 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe758…2e61backed Yes | 47c | 94.17$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9855…6c89backed Yes | 80c | 93.75$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89cc…394dbacked Yes | 71c | 91.68$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 51c | 82.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa81d…7447backed Yes | 63c | 79.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3706…fd6cbacked Yes | 63c | 65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b0…d650backed No | 59c | 63.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e97…4828backed Yes | 50c | 63.77$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…510dbacked No | 70c | 62.78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…d968backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…eacabacked Yes | 48c | 57.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 214 | 29.9%64 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2d…f77fbacked No | 64c | 53.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 99 | 19.2%19 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb23b…503fbacked No | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…1588backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c2…12e7backed No | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…0244backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac0…071ebacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…dc44backed No | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e43…b356backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 178 | 18.5%33 W · 145 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a67…f416backed Yes | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 107 | 27.1%29 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1402…febbbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255c…16dfbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961c…a310backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab8…0eebbacked No | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Yes | 49c | 49.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 205 | 32.7%67 W · 138 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 66c | 48.8$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 33c | 48.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ad…2dbbbacked Yes | 63c | 47.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 154 | 30.5%47 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 23c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -7.3wins | -0.30per pick | 51cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 34c | 41.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 48c | 39.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea54…f674backed No | 26c | 39.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…4e7dbacked Yes | 51c | 38.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c4…896cbacked Yes | 35c | 34.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 38c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 503 | 19.5%98 W · 405 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…67b2backed No | 51c | 30.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d8…be73backed Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 39c | 29.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…0432backed Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 63c | 26.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 264 | 61.7%163 W · 101 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.