Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3565f403fab995c0daf1c2fa6b59eaedff0401d6582b5e1e9b037b03fa98b2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, GamerLegion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,442
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,442 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed GamerLegion | 31c | 15,705$4,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,887 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed Team Liquid | 71c | 15,000$10,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,350 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Team Liquid | 67c | 12,764$8,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,211.96 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked GamerLegion | 29c | 6,455$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.62 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked GamerLegion | 34c | 6,086$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.56 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…e310backed GamerLegion | 30c | 5,189$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.32 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed GamerLegion | 39c | 4,004$1,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.76 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked GamerLegion | 35c | 3,600$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.98 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…d2b3backed Team Liquid | 70c | 2,120$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed GamerLegion | 50c | 2,030$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Team Liquid | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Team Liquid | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked GamerLegion | 31c | 1,832$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.8 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked Team Liquid | 64c | 1,300$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Team Liquid | 62c | 1,292$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.95 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed GamerLegion | 62c | 1,000$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.52 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…fbbdbacked GamerLegion | 2c | 925.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Team Liquid | 73c | 899.45$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.96 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked Team Liquid | 70c | 670.51$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.33 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed GamerLegion | 33c | 589.66$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.17 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed GamerLegion | 63c | 573$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Team Liquid | 72c | 566.64$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.67 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Liquid | 70c | 537.97$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.77 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed GamerLegion | 34c | 536.72$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.32 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed GamerLegion | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed GamerLegion | 9c | 499.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…46ddbacked Team Liquid | 63c | 318.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.05 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked GamerLegion | 40c | 309.38$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.26 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed GamerLegion | 35c | 289.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked GamerLegion | 34c | 283.02$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.06 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed GamerLegion | 37c | 248.74$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.97 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…f3a0backed GamerLegion | 29c | 239.53$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…52b7backed GamerLegion | 8c | 213.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Team Liquid | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e3…e46dbacked Team Liquid | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed GamerLegion | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed GamerLegion | 27c | 150.68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed GamerLegion | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…089bbacked GamerLegion | 30c | 142.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.27 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Team Liquid | 62c | 135.13$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Team Liquid | 73c | 109.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed GamerLegion | 32c | 105.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 47 | 10.6%5 W · 42 L | -12.0wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked Team Liquid | 65c | 104.45$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 238 | 49.6%118 W · 120 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff90…5dc2backed GamerLegion | 30c | 100.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked GamerLegion | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b99…eda5backed GamerLegion | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…0b6fbacked GamerLegion | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed11…3db8backed GamerLegion | 21c | 70.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1adf…733fbacked GamerLegion | 38c | 59.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e53…5c9dbacked GamerLegion | 59c | 52.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 96 | 68.8%66 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…1b11backed GamerLegion | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…3ad4backed GamerLegion | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaef…db07backed Team Liquid | 68c | 47.97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2eb…14eebacked Team Liquid | 60c | 43.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x687c…8c91backed Team Liquid | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Team Liquid | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Liquid | 70c | 39.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed GamerLegion | 34c | 35.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Team Liquid | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Team Liquid | 40c | 33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Team Liquid | 65c | 28.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0274…b5dfbacked Team Liquid | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Team Liquid | 72c | 22.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…e152backed Team Liquid | 73c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Team Liquid | 70c | 19.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion (BO3)Team Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.