Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x492a59082adae06aec8e66220564940fda3053808c7b43b2c056047757cdbd9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, GamerLegion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked GamerLegion | 27c | 5,171$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.84 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…e310backed Team Liquid | 62c | 4,963$3,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886.37 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked GamerLegion | 39c | 4,126$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.4 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Liquid | 73c | 4,116$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.78 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked GamerLegion | 35c | 3,946$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.05 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked Team Liquid | 63c | 3,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked GamerLegion | 31c | 1,902$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.97 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Team Liquid | 68c | 1,393$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.25 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f53…adc6backed Team Liquid | 75c | 1,258$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…cc32backed GamerLegion | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed GamerLegion | 35c | 1,134$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.82 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 1,087$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.35 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked GamerLegion | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Team Liquid | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed GamerLegion | 33c | 762.13$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.82 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked Team Liquid | 65c | 515.43$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…adeabacked Team Liquid | 66c | 446.03$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…d5b0backed Team Liquid | 66c | 321.21$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.21 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Team Liquid | 74c | 272.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.03 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc76b…5fbabacked Team Liquid | 75c | 233.97$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.49 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Team Liquid | 72c | 220$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed GamerLegion | 31c | 195.22$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.13 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Team Liquid | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed GamerLegion | 29c | 133$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 47 | 10.6%5 W · 42 L | -12.0wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed GamerLegion | 30c | 101.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked GamerLegion | 45c | 101.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.47 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed GamerLegion | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -46%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Liquid | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Team Liquid | 64c | 98.54$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Team Liquid | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked Team Liquid | 71c | 67.66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 238 | 49.6%118 W · 120 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…089bbacked Team Liquid | 75c | 58.21$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…1b11backed GamerLegion | 19c | 55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked GamerLegion | 33c | 51.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…158fbacked GamerLegion | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1adf…733fbacked Team Liquid | 65c | 48.58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Team Liquid | 72c | 41.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…6fd5backed Team Liquid | 68c | 32.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…8aa8backed Team Liquid | 64c | 30.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaef…db07backed Team Liquid | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x687c…8c91backed Team Liquid | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion (BO3)Team Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.