Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. St. Thomas (MN) Tommies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45ad2c784067922dd1f86994ba0cb67200d680f98f215d44510f00bc988557e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Thomas (MN) Tommiesof South Dakota State Jackrabbits, St. Thomas (MN) Tommies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 73c | 999.98$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 65c | 536.46$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 27c | 492$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.83 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 27c | 485$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.83 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 65c | 445.03$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.37 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 69c | 340.77$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.2 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 40c | 307.42$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.98 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 32c | 256.77$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.3 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 76c | 132.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 50c | 99.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.58 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 49c | 92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 65c | 74.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.29 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 36c | 64.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 76c | 57.85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…8c27backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 25c | 50.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 73c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5815…ed3ebacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0110…af5dbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 55c | 26.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. St. Thomas (MN) Tommiesthis page
- South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. St. Thomas (MN) Tommies: O/U 155.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.