Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Western Illinois Leathernecks vs. Morehead State Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3dec5c1914383e52566615567cccdf69ee0c46cc1899e49d748b661d4c5c83c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Morehead State Eaglesof Western Illinois Leathernecks, Morehead State Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Western Illinois Leathernecks | 24c | 1,120$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.62 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Western Illinois Leathernecks | 24c | 752.46$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.71 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Morehead State Eagles | 78c | 656.7$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.91 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Western Illinois Leathernecks | 42c | 468.7$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.05 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Morehead State Eagles | 77c | 447.83$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.58 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Western Illinois Leathernecks | 22c | 414.41$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.1 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Morehead State Eagles | 72c | 400.93$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.74 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Morehead State Eagles | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Morehead State Eagles | 76c | 397.04$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.92 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Morehead State Eagles | 77c | 337.56$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.58 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Western Illinois Leathernecks | 13c | 313.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Morehead State Eagles | 77c | 304.62$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.21 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Western Illinois Leathernecks | 29c | 278.46$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.93 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Morehead State Eagles | 78c | 255.08$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.68 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Western Illinois Leathernecks | 25c | 239$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Morehead State Eagles | 43c | 209$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Western Illinois Leathernecks | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked Morehead State Eagles | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Western Illinois Leathernecks | 22c | 195$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Western Illinois Leathernecks | 24c | 159.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Morehead State Eagles | 57c | 138$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.96 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Morehead State Eagles | 78c | 126$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Western Illinois Leathernecks | 24c | 125.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Morehead State Eagles | 73c | 115.5$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Morehead State Eagles | 67c | 109.04$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Western Illinois Leathernecks | 22c | 102.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Western Illinois Leathernecks | 24c | 95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Western Illinois Leathernecks | 23c | 72.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d7…615fbacked Western Illinois Leathernecks | 25c | 66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Morehead State Eagles | 78c | 63.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Morehead State Eagles | 67c | 62.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Morehead State Eagles | 78c | 60.8$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…6726backed Western Illinois Leathernecks | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Morehead State Eagles | 78c | 50.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…8c27backed Western Illinois Leathernecks | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Western Illinois Leathernecks | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Western Illinois Leathernecks | 31c | 49.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Morehead State Eagles | 80c | 41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Morehead State Eagles | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Morehead State Eagles | 76c | 33.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Morehead State Eagles | 76c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Morehead State Eagles | 78c | 29.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Morehead State Eagles | 69c | 28.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Morehead State Eagles | 73c | 25.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x857a…bcbbbacked Morehead State Eagles | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Western Illinois Leathernecks vs. Morehead State Eaglesthis page
- Spread: Morehead State Eagles (-8.5)Western Illinois Leathernecks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.