Lol · resolved market
LoL: Esprit Shōnen vs Lille Esport (BO1) - LFL Invitational Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30656ed942aed87593d9557a43b3bc87f6efad45e8d7764c776ce45ced25489f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Esprit Shōnenof Esprit Shōnen, Lille Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,123
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Esprit Shōnen | 53c | 1,740$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.44 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Lille Esport | 47c | 1,545$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.21 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d84fbacked Lille Esport | 58c | 1,156$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.24 | 133 | 45.1%60 W · 73 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lille Esport | 19c | 1,003$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.65 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…de20backed Esprit Shōnen | 37c | 1,000$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.16 | 274 | 55.8%153 W · 121 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed Lille Esport | 62c | 829.14$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.79 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lille Esport | 41c | 685.25$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.04 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Esprit Shōnen | 37c | 633.8$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.29 | 105 | 41.9%44 W · 61 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Esprit Shōnen | 46c | 623$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.92 | 690 | 41.3%285 W · 405 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked Lille Esport | 23c | 599.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Lille Esport | 50c | 580$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 191 | 46.1%88 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…b9c6backed Lille Esport | 46c | 574.02$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.05 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Esprit Shōnen | 55c | 540$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Esprit Shōnen | 50c | 462$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 119 | 36.1%43 W · 76 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Lille Esport | 9c | 326$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Lille Esport | 53c | 314.34$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.6 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Esprit Shōnen | 47c | 294.34$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x308a…5d3abacked Lille Esport | 50c | 205.07$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1706…f054backed Esprit Shōnen | 50c | 204$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lille Esport | 44c | 184.65$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.58 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Esprit Shōnen | 42c | 180$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Esprit Shōnen | 55c | 166$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.7 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Esprit Shōnen | 64c | 152.81$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.98 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Esprit Shōnen | 54c | 152.32$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.32 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…71f8backed Lille Esport | 58c | 127.26$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.81 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d8…b398backed Esprit Shōnen | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…b365backed Esprit Shōnen | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 268 | 65.7%176 W · 92 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Esprit Shōnen | 59c | 97.78$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Esprit Shōnen | 52c | 95.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.14 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Esprit Shōnen | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed Esprit Shōnen | 56c | 71.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…0381backed Esprit Shōnen | 70c | 71.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 489 | 51.5%252 W · 237 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5624…b5c4backed Esprit Shōnen | 32c | 62.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.73 | 288 | 51%147 W · 141 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x888b…5847backed Lille Esport | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Esprit Shōnen | 53c | 57.72$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Esprit Shōnen | 36c | 54.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.86 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bc…4c8cbacked Lille Esport | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Lille Esport | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed Lille Esport | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Esprit Shōnen | 55c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Esprit Shōnen | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Lille Esport | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Lille Esport | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Lille Esport | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa6…9a42backed Lille Esport | 51c | 33.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…bfe6backed Esprit Shōnen | 31c | 33.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Lille Esport | 44c | 32.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Esprit Shōnen | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Lille Esport | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Lille Esport | 47c | 29.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed Lille Esport | 45c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Lille Esport | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Lille Esport | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Esprit Shōnen | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Esprit Shōnen | 55c | 22.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 171 | 32.2%55 W · 116 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.