Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
IU Indy Jaguars vs. Oakland Golden Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b0ec31d85b5a281ae4e9f06f96b4a517f52558cc99e77503112589c35d7768b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- IU Indy Jaguarsof IU Indy Jaguars, Oakland Golden Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 41c | 3,796$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.11 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 79c | 1,485$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.03 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed IU Indy Jaguars | 9c | 911.45$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.42 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 15c | 800$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.45 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed IU Indy Jaguars | 14c | 739.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.76 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 79c | 612.2$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.09 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed IU Indy Jaguars | 71c | 443.85$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.93 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 24c | 384.62$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.31 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 66c | 343$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.85 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed IU Indy Jaguars | 58c | 266.34$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.15 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 41c | 233.63$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.64 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed IU Indy Jaguars | 9c | 223.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.58 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed IU Indy Jaguars | 10c | 205$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.55 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 26c | 203.67$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.08 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 10c | 201.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed IU Indy Jaguars | 51c | 199.55$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.94 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed IU Indy Jaguars | 51c | 169$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.81 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 16c | 116.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 49c | 107.43$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.19 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6512…87e5backed IU Indy Jaguars | 10c | 105.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +251.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…c9ddbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 22c | 71.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed IU Indy Jaguars | 51c | 63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 45c | 43.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed IU Indy Jaguars | 44c | 38.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 54c | 33.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed IU Indy Jaguars | 76c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 62c | 19.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IU Indy Jaguars vs. Oakland Golden Grizzliesthis page
- IU Indy Jaguars vs. Oakland Golden Grizzlies: O/U 177.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.