Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabfc4215b5b0da7ac4db7319328917d3f0594607a88c2d781bf42ad8c9faca94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof Team Falcons, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed Zero Tenacity | 74c | 5,417$4,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.58 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Team Falcons | 77c | 5,389$4,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,175.84 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Zero Tenacity | 28c | 1,530$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.06 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x06a8…2927backed Team Falcons | 37c | 1,522$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.7 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Falcons | 75c | 1,061$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.97 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9671…3a70backed Team Falcons | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Zero Tenacity | 49c | 920.2$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.5 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Falcons | 14c | 749.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda12…38d6backed Zero Tenacity | 49c | 739.91$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.35 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Zero Tenacity | 35c | 739.43$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.03 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…08f5backed Team Falcons | 1c | 700$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Team Falcons | 1c | 700$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Zero Tenacity | 13c | 648.16$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.87 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Zero Tenacity | 7c | 628$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.04 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Zero Tenacity | 74c | 600$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.58 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Zero Tenacity | 36c | 584.11$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.12 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Zero Tenacity | 12c | 360.51$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.04 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Zero Tenacity | 8c | 325.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.77 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked Zero Tenacity | 25c | 289.31$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.7 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Zero Tenacity | 44c | 242.39$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.74 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked Zero Tenacity | 19c | 212.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.32 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe145…b8f7backed Zero Tenacity | 33c | 175.27$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.43 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 161.03$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.01 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9966…f991backed Zero Tenacity | 22c | 118.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.18 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Zero Tenacity | 44c | 111.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Zero Tenacity | 20c | 100.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.29 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Zero Tenacity | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Zero Tenacity | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Zero Tenacity | 49c | 71.71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.71 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Zero Tenacity | 18c | 58.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Team Falcons | 71c | 43.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Team Falcons | 69c | 40.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…7dcbbacked Team Falcons | 71c | 26.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Team Falcons | 62c | 23.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.