Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Fairfield Stags
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53c6862c4729a8289220e329a58fe14022e4b6a1ee4f6a15cd7ecdc31b7567ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fairfield Stagsof Niagara Purple Eagles, Fairfield Stags
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 52c | 3,010$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.07 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 16c | 1,906$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.95 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Fairfield Stags | 45c | 1,847$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.76 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Fairfield Stags | 46c | 1,033$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.45 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 15c | 750$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 16c | 572.53$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.6 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 16c | 523$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.68 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Fairfield Stags | 60c | 504$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.3 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Fairfield Stags | 40c | 469.12$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.67 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 40c | 443.01$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.93 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Fairfield Stags | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fairfield Stags | 70c | 389.16$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.22 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 16c | 350$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 17c | 347$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 14c | 347$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Fairfield Stags | 50c | 325.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.46 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 28c | 320$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.7 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Fairfield Stags | 68c | 201.02$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.66 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked Fairfield Stags | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 44c | 198$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.85 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 24c | 180$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Fairfield Stags | 75c | 161.33$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 15c | 160.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf8…3397backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 24c | 124.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 17c | 121.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 17c | 120.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Fairfield Stags | 60c | 112$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 15c | 100.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 17c | 90$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…6726backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 15c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Fairfield Stags | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Fairfield Stags | 77c | 47.13$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Fairfield Stags | 42c | 47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Fairfield Stags | 41c | 46.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Fairfield Stags | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Fairfield Stags | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Fairfield Stags | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked Fairfield Stags | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Fairfield Stags | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Fairfield Stagsthis page
- Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Fairfield Stags: O/U 138.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.