Other European Leagues · resolved market
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4dd934366428e57625df64b5a1b6492b648f2a8cd477db0b6f088de7369349db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Over | 54c | 10,090$5,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,440.27 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570.4 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 6,631$3,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,532.36 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Over | 44c | 4,520$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 50c | 3,493$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.61 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 38c | 2,431$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.35 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…a62bbacked Over | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…565fbacked Over | 54c | 1,454$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7af1…458abacked Under | 62c | 1,149$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Over | 57c | 1,023$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.27 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…3b03backed Under | 11c | 641.13$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.73 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 39cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 43c | 610$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.7 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 598$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 68c | 423.38$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.66 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 50c | 420.43$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.08 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 17c | 398.53$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.53 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 51c | 371.68$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.27 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…102cbacked Over | 43c | 309.26$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae4…d0d0backed Over | 48c | 303.91$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +485.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 49c | 263.54$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.8 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 49c | 221.59$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.56 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc15d…6a7cbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Over | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…c4efbacked Under | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 77c | 194.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 17c | 159.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 37c | 99.77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 51c | 90.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 78c | 83.33$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 57c | 70.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Under | 50c | 67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 50c | 54.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 50c | 54.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Over | 52c | 53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9d…8ce0backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd885…c666backed Over | 54c | 48.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 54c | 46.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59bf…3e29backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…9725backed Over | 80c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Under | 69c | 38.74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9c…0aa3backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 49c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 38c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…84c5backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 69c | 30.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 51c | 26.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f9…6e1dbacked Over | 53c | 23.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed Under | 69c | 21.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fd…fe29backed Over | 73c | 17.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 2.5this page
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Göztepe SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.