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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Missouri Tigers vs. Ole Miss Rebels

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ole Miss Rebelsof Missouri Tigers, Ole Miss Rebels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,080
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,754

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,080 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf569…36a6backed Missouri Tigers50c7,000$3,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,492.282050%10 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Missouri Tigers49c3,260$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,590.132,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Ole Miss Rebels52c3,152$1,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,522.445,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Ole Miss Rebels51c2,431$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.3819950.3%100 W · 99 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Missouri Tigers50c2,020$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.565,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Ole Miss Rebels50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00046446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Missouri Tigers49c1,791$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.661,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Ole Miss Rebels54c1,610$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.061,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Missouri Tigers45c1,237$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.6472248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Ole Miss Rebels54c1,200$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.62,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Ole Miss Rebels52c1,173$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.1681453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Ole Miss Rebels52c999.43$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.4312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Ole Miss Rebels53c970.49$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.942,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Ole Miss Rebels51c970.04$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.7413840.6%56 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa70b…7a8abacked Ole Miss Rebels52c833.47$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.47977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.27per pick50cpaid+54.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Missouri Tigers48c793.02$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.655440.7%22 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Ole Miss Rebels58c686.96$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.73,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Missouri Tigers47c413.66$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.282,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dca…a7acbacked Ole Miss Rebels62c410.39$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.9525254.8%138 W · 114 L-15.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa070…1af3backed Ole Miss Rebels53c376.68$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.682462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Ole Miss Rebels28c301.09$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.5742327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Ole Miss Rebels55c283.26$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.31,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Missouri Tigers46c280.78$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12912642.1%53 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Ole Miss Rebels52c234.59$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.441,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Missouri Tigers47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Missouri Tigers47c211.09$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2152928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Ole Miss Rebels53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9489850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Missouri Tigers38c190.17$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.163,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Missouri Tigers37c166.54$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.212,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Missouri Tigers24c144.7$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.345133.3%17 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Ole Miss Rebels55c138.04$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5345644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Missouri Tigers40c137$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3422050.5%111 W · 109 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Ole Miss Rebels71c130.65$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1573549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Ole Miss Rebels55c125$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5360548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Ole Miss Rebels50c117$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.352,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Ole Miss Rebels50c111.15$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.014,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Ole Miss Rebels50c105$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5310652.8%56 W · 50 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Missouri Tigers38c102.8$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7336845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f27…781dbacked Missouri Tigers73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731593.3%14 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick78cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x36b7…304dbacked Ole Miss Rebels52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Missouri Tigers55c90.15$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.51,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Missouri Tigers48c86.72$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.273,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Missouri Tigers45c77$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6518129.3%53 W · 128 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Ole Miss Rebels55c77$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.641,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Ole Miss Rebels51c72.15$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.732343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Missouri Tigers64c72$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9349747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad4a…7de7backed Missouri Tigers49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Ole Miss Rebels50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2534649.1%170 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Ole Miss Rebels55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1461446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Ole Miss Rebels52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.220254.5%110 W · 92 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb038…ff5fbacked Ole Miss Rebels66c37.55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Ole Miss Rebels47c37.22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7957335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Missouri Tigers50c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3dc…ece8backed Missouri Tigers44c29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-41.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Missouri Tigers49c28.7$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1815861.4%97 W · 61 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6257…99f6backed Ole Miss Rebels58c28.02$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Missouri Tigers39c27.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7430746.3%142 W · 165 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Missouri Tigers48c25.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0899045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61bb…aca7backed Ole Miss Rebels52c24.96$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.923452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Ole Miss Rebels74c21.11$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.542,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.