Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Missouri Tigers vs. Ole Miss Rebels: O/U 144.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae50f904f0b63950629e4e34a5726d9a31d67395a84eb2d140a25c76ba1cfc9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Under | 51c | 2,204$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.25 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +8.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 46c | 483.89$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.64 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 368$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.16 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 52c | 277$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.04 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 48c | 232.35$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.82 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 52c | 217.72$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.22 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Under | 53c | 216.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 200 | 46.5%93 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 49c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 44c | 33.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 56c | 33.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…5dfabacked Over | 49c | 26.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 75c | 15.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Missouri Tigers vs. Ole Miss Rebels: O/U 144.5this page
- Missouri Tigers vs. Ole Miss RebelsOle Miss Rebels won
- Missouri Tigers vs. Ole Miss Rebels: O/U 142.5Over won
- Missouri Tigers vs. Ole Miss Rebels: O/U 143.5Over won
- Spread: Missouri Tigers (-1.5)Ole Miss Rebels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.