Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Houston Cougars vs. Baylor Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7293f3d9bd2470aed8f6ec69cd32ed896d5f910a42353f9e2e5d97e7317e8a74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Cougarsof Houston Cougars, Baylor Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Baylor Bears | 43c | 7,082$3,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024.44 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf569…36a6backed Houston Cougars | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Baylor Bears | 50c | 5,330$2,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,664.98 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Baylor Bears | 30c | 5,302$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.96 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Houston Cougars | 61c | 3,916$2,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.58 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Houston Cougars | 57c | 3,240$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.2 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baylor Bears | 5c | 3,204$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.48 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Houston Cougars | 63c | 2,305$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Baylor Bears | 24c | 2,137$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.05 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Houston Cougars | 64c | 1,898$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.93 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Houston Cougars | 64c | 1,648$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.28 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Baylor Bears | 36c | 1,528$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.13 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Baylor Bears | 16c | 1,398$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.68 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Baylor Bears | 41c | 1,226$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Baylor Bears | 36c | 1,200$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.82 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Baylor Bears | 40c | 1,172$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.02 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Houston Cougars | 59c | 1,108$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.81 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Baylor Bears | 22c | 1,073$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.64 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Baylor Bears | 16c | 1,043$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.69 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Baylor Bears | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 123 | 64.2%79 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Baylor Bears | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Houston Cougars | 58c | 879.06$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.16 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Baylor Bears | 36c | 817.11$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.89 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Houston Cougars | 57c | 760$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.8 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Baylor Bears | 17c | 695.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.68 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Baylor Bears | 23c | 661.8$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.02 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Baylor Bears | 40c | 495.13$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.15 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Houston Cougars | 54c | 416$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.58 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e19…1b40backed Baylor Bears | 27c | 384.09$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Baylor Bears | 35c | 375$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Baylor Bears | 38c | 327$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.26 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Baylor Bears | 16c | 317.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Baylor Bears | 48c | 316$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.68 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Houston Cougars | 65c | 307.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.53 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Baylor Bears | 46c | 305.74$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.54 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Houston Cougars | 74c | 302.13$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.92 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Houston Cougars | 48c | 299.26$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.56 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Baylor Bears | 35c | 280$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Baylor Bears | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Baylor Bears | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Houston Cougars | 67c | 231.64$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.39 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Houston Cougars | 64c | 216.81$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.86 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7441…cb79backed Baylor Bears | 31c | 200$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.33per pick | 41cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5f29…9d73backed Houston Cougars | 62c | 197.89$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Baylor Bears | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Houston Cougars | 60c | 186.5$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Baylor Bears | 19c | 185$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…8be3backed Baylor Bears | 55c | 181.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.68 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Houston Cougars | 59c | 181.07$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.7 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…63bfbacked Houston Cougars | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe281…ad9abacked Baylor Bears | 25c | 154.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Baylor Bears | 18c | 116$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Houston Cougars | 70c | 102.9$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Baylor Bears | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Houston Cougars | 78c | 98.05$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Baylor Bears | 26c | 94.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Houston Cougars | 60c | 92.18$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 126 | 17.5%22 W · 104 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Baylor Bears | 39c | 87.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc2…0540backed Baylor Bears | 52c | 72.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…eaeebacked Houston Cougars | 65c | 64.46$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Baylor Bears | 37c | 62.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Houston Cougars | 57c | 61.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Baylor Bears | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Baylor Bears | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Baylor Bears | 33c | 39.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Baylor Bears | 46c | 36.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad4a…7de7backed Houston Cougars | 65c | 34.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Houston Cougars | 61c | 29.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…5365backed Baylor Bears | 38c | 26.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…79b6backed Houston Cougars | 64c | 25.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed Baylor Bears | 41c | 24.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…2d71backed Houston Cougars | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Houston Cougars | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b3…a7b1backed Houston Cougars | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a08…0910backed Houston Cougars | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Cougars vs. Baylor Bearsthis page
- Houston Cougars vs. Baylor Bears: O/U 142.5Under won
- Houston Cougars vs. Baylor Bears: O/U 143.5Under won
- Spread: Houston Cougars (-2.5)Houston Cougars won
- Spread: Houston Cougars (-3.5)Houston Cougars won
- Spread: Houston Cougars (-4.5)Houston Cougars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.