Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Southern Jaguars: O/U 140.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1967ea39f16472d47cdd2622d7faad6b84c7df069b2a47b6f787e9da16bdec22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,392
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,392 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 55c | 25,727$14,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,584.35 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ea…0637backed Under | 44c | 9,000$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 46c | 7,979$3,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,670.23 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 44c | 5,781$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,565.37 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Over | 55c | 4,827$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf569…36a6backed Under | 45c | 4,523$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026.16 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 45c | 4,522$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.79 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Under | 45c | 4,433$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 55c | 4,312$2,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.68 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Under | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.99 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Over | 57c | 2,851$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.25 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Over | 54c | 1,937$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.82 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 44c | 1,400$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.83 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 46c | 1,039$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.13 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Under | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Under | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 46c | 883.74$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.72 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 56c | 799.99$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 57c | 620.29$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.72 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Under | 43c | 605.45$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 46c | 502.63$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.21 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Under | 44c | 350$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 46c | 316.88$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.25 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc0…099dbacked Under | 45c | 301.9$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 56c | 299.63$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.51 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…c36abacked Under | 46c | 222$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.12 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 57c | 217.22$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.99 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Under | 43c | 190.75$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Under | 45c | 151.33$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Under | 40c | 122.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Under | 44c | 113.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -9.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 41c | 104.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…5a2dbacked Under | 46c | 100.53$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 55c | 80.69$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Under | 43c | 70.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.29per pick | 48cpaid | -57%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…49c4backed Over | 61c | 64.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3518…c4aebacked Over | 55c | 54.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +35%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c6…5004backed Over | 55c | 54.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Over | 59c | 41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Under | 44c | 34.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5f…a8a0backed Over | 58c | 34.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Over | 57c | 32.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 40c | 31.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Under | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98df…41b7backed Under | 46c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Southern Jaguars: O/U 140.5this page
- Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Southern JaguarsSouthern Jaguars won
- Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Southern Jaguars: O/U 139.5Over won
- Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Southern Jaguars: O/U 141.5Over won
- Spread: Southern Jaguars (-20.5)Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils won
- Spread: Southern Jaguars (-21.5)Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.