Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Southern Jaguars (-20.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2404ee8bfae2e839437f9dbf4686b5cc2b79f0e0228882d038bf59976bc3a6fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mississippi Valley State Delta Devilsof Southern Jaguars, Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,487
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,487 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Southern Jaguars | 51c | 4,670$2,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,381.6 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils | 49c | 4,486$2,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,268.01 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Southern Jaguars | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…8a63backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils | 49c | 654.48$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.78 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils | 49c | 501.2$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.61 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Southern Jaguars | 49c | 375.65$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.07 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Southern Jaguars | 55c | 110.08$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…5a42backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils | 49c | 29.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Southern Jaguars (-20.5)this page
- Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Southern JaguarsSouthern Jaguars won
- Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Southern Jaguars: O/U 139.5Over won
- Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Southern Jaguars: O/U 140.5Over won
- Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Southern Jaguars: O/U 141.5Over won
- Spread: Southern Jaguars (-21.5)Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.