Golf · resolved market
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b18f16ef8fdc7d4bfb4aec9f291a3cf443f9d105e236b08549d3ccf2b4f35ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Yes | 34c | 11,105$3,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,811.73 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 67c | 9,559$6,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,201.39 | 225 | 46.7%105 W · 120 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 6c | 6,225$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77f1…91bdbacked Yes | 7c | 6,152$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578e…c3c0backed Yes | 26c | 4,192$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 26c | 3,827$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 73c | 3,779$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.76 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaf…7affbacked Yes | 22c | 2,146$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.02 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -87.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…19b8backed Yes | 26c | 1,919$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cb…ad46backed Yes | 5c | 1,534$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.92 | 51 | 7.8%4 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc87…521abacked Yes | 7c | 1,492$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +152.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 13c | 1,442$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.8 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Yes | 4c | 1,386$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd22…11ffbacked Yes | 24c | 1,251$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabea…72aebacked Yes | 25c | 1,235$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.69 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +288.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Yes | 25c | 1,181$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 10c | 902.13$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.48 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b8…0d4cbacked Yes | 17c | 535.71$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…0931backed Yes | 24c | 418.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +147.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 10c | 334.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 295 | 3.7%11 W · 284 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x428b…5b25backed Yes | 14c | 210.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 21c | 195.68$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Yes | 40c | 125.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 31c | 117.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfafd…8837backed Yes | 26c | 116.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +219.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad3f…a377backed Yes | 20c | 108.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c95…7ca6backed Yes | 25c | 104$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d5…0789backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes | 23c | 85.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 116 | 8.6%10 W · 106 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 33c | 81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…bd65backed No | 79c | 74.97$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…9811backed Yes | 27c | 74.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 18.5%15 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 26c | 64.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc5…c64dbacked No | 61c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 102 | 68.6%70 W · 32 L | +14.0wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…85e2backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 78c | 34.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed No | 75c | 26.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 69c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 65c | 22.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 68c | 20.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 76c | 14.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open?this page
- Will Alex Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open?No won
- Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open?No won
- Will Calum Hill win the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open?No won
- Will Chris Gotterup win the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open?No won
- Will Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra win the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open?No won
- Will Johnny Keefer win the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open?No won
- Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open?No won
- Will Min Woo Lee win the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open?No won
- Will Nicolai Hojgaard win the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open?No won
- Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open?No won
- Will Rasmus Hojgaard win the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open?No won
- Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open?No won
- Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open?No won
- Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open?No won
- Will Tom Kim win the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open?Yes won
- Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open?No won
- Will Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open?No won
- Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open?No won
- Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.