Golf · resolved market
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec45a2edc1ddb437ce8bcf33955531a5f48b8740b686cd9cde96d8742c83eb3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $171,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 9c | 49,958$4,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,496.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed No | 10c | 33,550$3,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,494.49 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 27c | 9,564$2,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,585.79 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Yes | 75c | 8,344$6,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,062.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 73c | 7,002$5,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.02 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 27c | 6,903$1,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,863.85 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c17…5e9bbacked No | 61c | 5,587$3,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,391.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 71c | 2,912$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.68 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 31c | 2,590$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.52 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked No | 32c | 2,500$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc6…53f7backed Yes | 65c | 2,026$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 15c | 2,025$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.07 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c01…d612backed Yes | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -77%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 73c | 1,169$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.46 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31f5…c806backed Yes | 64c | 1,071$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.68 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5a…96bcbacked Yes | 68c | 722.45$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf1…0db6backed No | 36c | 589.98$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ae…d117backed Yes | 15c | 580$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +562.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 65c | 519.44$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.8 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked No | 6c | 490$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cb…ad46backed No | 34c | 431.38$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.67 | 51 | 7.8%4 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 45c | 394.35$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 22c | 391.83$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.8 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d5…0789backed No | 47c | 385.62$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 14c | 359.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +214.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10e5…b7aabacked Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 65c | 308.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.73 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 29c | 262$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.66 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 59c | 260$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.02 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf8…eab1backed Yes | 18c | 252.46$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 24c | 240.65$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Yes | 63c | 199.99$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…f3e7backed No | 23c | 168.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb772…fa1dbacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 33c | 155.27$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.38 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a7…6f65backed Yes | 68c | 152.06$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…9811backed Yes | 67c | 150.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 81 | 18.5%15 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed No | 50c | 146.83$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.06 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…fc47backed Yes | 68c | 132.35$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f72…8d01backed Yes | 60c | 130$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc68c…2936backed No | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 67c | 119.98$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 44c | 115.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf34…caf1backed Yes | 67c | 109.2$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…8278backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x637f…38d0backed Yes | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes | 41c | 87.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.53 | 116 | 8.6%10 W · 106 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed No | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 69c | 65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +118.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa09c…fc57backed Yes | 69c | 60.51$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7506…6996backed No | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Yes | 78c | 53.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2956…d31bbacked Yes | 77c | 53.84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Yes | 66c | 43.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 63c | 30.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 74 | 6.8%5 W · 69 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce3a…859abacked Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Yes | 68c | 26.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85bc…1909backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship?this page
- Will Cameron Young win the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship?No won
- Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship?No won
- Will Jacob Bridgeman win the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship?No won
- Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship?No won
- Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship?No won
- Will Kristoffer Reitan win the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship?No won
- Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship?No won
- Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship?No won
- Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship?No won
- Will Patrick Rodgers win the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship?No won
- Will Ricky Castillo win the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship?No won
- Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship?No won
- Will Sam Burns win the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship?No won
- Will Sung-Jae Im win the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship?No won
- Will Tom Kim win the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship?No won
- Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship?No won
- Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship?No won
- Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship?No won
- Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.