Golf · resolved market

Will Sam Burns win the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4eac0bfb07886814b7ee3f06d650f1a3669e37ae86fc256c6331ee526aed836d

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Aug 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $22,728
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $22,406

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,728 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Golf
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8089…f935backed Yes	17c	6,244$1,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,030.26	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc67b…4271backed Yes	12c	3,765$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$463.34	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x578e…c3c0backed Yes	20c	2,556$509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa2cb…ad46backed Yes	19c	1,613$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.95	51	7.8%4 W · 47 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	+87.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc146…10d7backed Yes	19c	1,340$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.87	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12a7…399bbacked Yes	19c	1,250$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.75	36	2.8%1 W · 35 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-92.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ea…7f8dbacked Yes	12c	926.91$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.28	53	15.1%8 W · 45 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	+219.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5871…0defbacked Yes	7c	666.57$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.37	20	0%0 W · 20 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd38b…bebdbacked Yes	4c	499.99$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes	15c	495.04$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.26	52	26.9%14 W · 38 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee1d…e134backed Yes	4c	487.8$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	25	8%2 W · 23 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x31f5…c806backed Yes	18c	445.59$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.98	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4840…be60backed Yes	19c	325.78$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-53.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes	14c	193.85$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.33	62	41.9%26 W · 36 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes	15c	180$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.64	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.10per pick	15cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes	9c	114.8$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.22	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+1.8wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Yes	15c	95.44$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.32	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a76…3c34backed Yes	17c	66.65$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.33	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Sam Burns win the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event