MLB · resolved market
Rangers vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa844cbe8ebd14a423b9b7f61cfb7e39d9e9eaac02234061ae716019acf48be0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rangersof Rangers, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,139
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,139 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Rangers | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.98 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Orioles | 26c | 6,368$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.6 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Orioles | 22c | 6,036$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.31 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Orioles | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Rangers | 59c | 4,999$2,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026.94 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Orioles | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Rangers | 59c | 3,718$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.69 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rangers | 67c | 3,592$2,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.24 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Orioles | 41c | 3,077$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.3 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Rangers | 58c | 3,075$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.33 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…ed7ebacked Rangers | 69c | 2,995$2,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.98 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Orioles | 41c | 2,852$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.23 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers | 63c | 2,826$1,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.28 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Orioles | 42c | 2,729$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.15 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Orioles | 41c | 2,665$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.69 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Orioles | 42c | 2,655$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.31 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Orioles | 1c | 2,118$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Orioles | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Orioles | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Orioles | 42c | 1,984$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.33 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Rangers | 67c | 1,837$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.96 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Orioles | 1c | 1,750$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Rangers | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Rangers | 58c | 1,601$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.42 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Orioles | 3c | 1,449$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Orioles | 48c | 1,445$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Rangers | 72c | 1,316$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.21 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Rangers | 58c | 1,290$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.78 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Orioles | 1c | 1,103$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Orioles | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Orioles | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rangers | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Orioles | 31c | 997.37$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.18 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Orioles | 40c | 948.88$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.55 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x113e…3febbacked Orioles | 41c | 890$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…7f9dbacked Rangers | 59c | 890$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Orioles | 34c | 874.06$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Rangers | 59c | 850$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.5 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Rangers | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Rangers | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Orioles | 32c | 693.3$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.46 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Rangers | 58c | 692.79$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.97 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…a1c2backed Rangers | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.97 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Orioles | 41c | 599.99$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…e494backed Orioles | 38c | 554.44$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Orioles | 41c | 537.07$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Orioles | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Orioles | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Rangers | 62c | 485.01$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.01 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Orioles | 43c | 469.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Orioles | 3c | 447.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Orioles | 42c | 425$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Rangers | 58c | 425$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.5 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Rangers | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Rangers | 58c | 408.32$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.49 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked Orioles | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Orioles | 42c | 396.83$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.67 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Orioles | 42c | 365$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.3 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe38…1f16backed Rangers | 59c | 349.51$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.3 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Rangers | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Orioles | 40c | 275$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Orioles | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Orioles | 49c | 230.04$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.55 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…3303backed Rangers | 59c | 220.51$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.41 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeace…fe6abacked Orioles | 47c | 213.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…83c4backed Rangers | 54c | 201.63$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +132.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Orioles | 31c | 200.15$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rangers | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Rangers | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Rangers | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.11 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Orioles | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Rangers | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Orioles | 25c | 196.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.17 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Orioles | 42c | 190$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Rangers | 55c | 178.87$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.26 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Orioles | 27c | 176.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Rangers | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Rangers | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Orioles | 40c | 168.49$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9171…a0c6backed Rangers | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df1…4683backed Orioles | 42c | 166$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Orioles | 37c | 153.72$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Orioles | 41c | 147.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Rangers | 73c | 146.27$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9327…9ea2backed Orioles | 75c | 142.87$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.55 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa116…6f3bbacked Rangers | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Orioles | 42c | 127.57$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Orioles | 40c | 123$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Orioles | 41c | 121$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Orioles | 25c | 119.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Orioles | 39c | 116.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa588…2972backed Rangers | 74c | 110.32$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa712…9929backed Rangers | 73c | 100.36$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rangers | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Orioles | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Orioles | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Orioles | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…48f2backed Orioles | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Rangers | 59c | 97.75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.08 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2c…a0a4backed Orioles | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.