MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c891b72d83442619c8e776579f61051f8f408c55e0ea46fdf4ab2b2543fe3c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Cubs, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $303,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $315,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $303,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Cardinals | 42c | 202,565$85,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,051.82 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Cubs | 59c | 85,021$49,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,281.34 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Cubs | 58c | 63,971$37,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,867.67 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Cubs | 58c | 50,000$29,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,000 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Cubs | 58c | 22,222$12,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,333.24 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cubs | 75c | 9,688$7,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,397.39 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Cubs | 58c | 8,421$4,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,536.66 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Cubs | 58c | 5,358$3,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,251 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Cardinals | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Cubs | 58c | 4,466$2,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875.72 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cubs | 73c | 3,965$2,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.91 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Cubs | 59c | 3,384$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.44 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cardinals | 42c | 3,200$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cubs | 58c | 2,833$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.2 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Cardinals | 1c | 2,087$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Cardinals | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cubs | 57c | 1,835$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.91 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Cubs | 58c | 1,612$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.04 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Cardinals | 43c | 1,606$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.49 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cubs | 76c | 1,475$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.26 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Cardinals | 15c | 1,431$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.65 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cardinals | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Cardinals | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cardinals | 43c | 930.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Cubs | 58c | 752$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.84 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Cubs | 58c | 690$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.8 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Cardinals | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Cardinals | 4c | 522.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Cardinals | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cubs | 56c | 449.48$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.77 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Cubs | 73c | 439.47$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.66 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Cubs | 58c | 421.99$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.23 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Cardinals | 41c | 399.99$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.99 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cardinals | 43c | 399.98$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Cubs | 58c | 365.7$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.6 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa139…aa45backed Cardinals | 5c | 326.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3642…aac6backed Cardinals | 42c | 324.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Cardinals | 42c | 275$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Cubs | 71c | 250$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.89 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9171…a0c6backed Cardinals | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Cubs | 56c | 228$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Cardinals | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cubs | 56c | 217$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.48 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cubs | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cardinals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6187…1746backed Cubs | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Cardinals | 43c | 187$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.41 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Cubs | 59c | 170$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd1…ae88backed Cubs | 59c | 152$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc948…2224backed Cardinals | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Cardinals | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Cubs | 54c | 138.61$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.76 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Cubs | 55c | 121.7$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.77 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Cubs | 58c | 121$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.82 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x478d…1975backed Cubs | 59c | 119$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Cubs | 58c | 102.88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.88 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Cubs | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6de…9d0cbacked Cardinals | 42c | 101$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cardinals | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Cardinals | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5626…0b00backed Cardinals | 42c | 91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cubs | 72c | 90$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Cubs | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…41dcbacked Cubs | 59c | 86.58$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cubs | 58c | 86.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Cubs | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Cardinals | 44c | 79.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf175…d013backed Cardinals | 42c | 79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Cubs | 56c | 64.29$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Cardinals | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Cardinals | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cubs | 73c | 52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Cardinals | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Cubs | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 150 | 80%120 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Cardinals | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Cardinals | 43c | 43.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…c14fbacked Cardinals | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Cubs | 55c | 39.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Cubs | 73c | 36.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Cubs | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Cardinals | 42c | 31.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…a3ecbacked Cardinals | 42c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a10…023fbacked Cubs | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Cardinals | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Cardinals | 42c | 23.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b90…8c85backed Cubs | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Cubs | 74c | 13.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.