MLB · resolved market
Red Sox vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4eb946aa51d456e25fbadf8064f12dacfc00afc857cc8db8a619b1925def7f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Red Sox, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $200,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $221,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x11fc…dc48backed Mariners | 25c | 65,000$16,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,249.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Red Sox | 75c | 33,230$24,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,307.58 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Red Sox | 75c | 13,333$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,333.33 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Red Sox | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Mariners | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Red Sox | 52c | 8,888$4,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,266.24 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Mariners | 48c | 8,709$4,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,179.63 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Mariners | 14c | 8,268$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.43 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…6f4abacked Mariners | 14c | 6,447$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.4 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Red Sox | 75c | 5,850$4,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.5 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mariners | 19c | 4,207$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.17 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Sox | 74c | 3,887$2,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.79 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Mariners | 48c | 2,904$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.62 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 47c | 2,681$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.7 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Red Sox | 64c | 2,415$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.4 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Mariners | 26c | 2,338$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.05 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Mariners | 6c | 2,218$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.67 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Mariners | 24c | 2,102$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Red Sox | 52c | 1,929$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.8 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mariners | 6c | 1,885$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.08 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Mariners | 48c | 1,458$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Red Sox | 53c | 1,313$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.26 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Red Sox | 53c | 1,054$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.41 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Red Sox | 52c | 1,050$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.49 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Red Sox | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mariners | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Mariners | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Red Sox | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Red Sox | 52c | 929.19$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.01 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mariners | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Red Sox | 51c | 799.92$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.96 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Mariners | 54c | 744.94$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.21 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…13eebacked Mariners | 41c | 739.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Mariners | 48c | 739.21$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.82 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc028…9349backed Red Sox | 53c | 686.61$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.71 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Red Sox | 52c | 684.48$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.55 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Mariners | 14c | 672.71$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.52 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Mariners | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd3…8757backed Red Sox | 53c | 567.42$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.69 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Red Sox | 52c | 546.55$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.35 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Mariners | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32f…5866backed Mariners | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Red Sox | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Red Sox | 52c | 499.95$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.98 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Mariners | 52c | 480.87$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Mariners | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Mariners | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Mariners | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9171…a0c6backed Mariners | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Mariners | 39c | 387.04$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Red Sox | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf094…6fd5backed Red Sox | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…3303backed Red Sox | 54c | 370.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.36 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaac1…2248backed Mariners | 48c | 345.4$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.79 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Red Sox | 53c | 320.96$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.85 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Red Sox | 55c | 319.23$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.53 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Red Sox | 78c | 312$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.96 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…08c5backed Red Sox | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mariners | 14c | 298.49$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Mariners | 7c | 266.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9076…f6a4backed Mariners | 48c | 260$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Red Sox | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Red Sox | 52c | 214.06$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.06 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Mariners | 47c | 214$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.58 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mariners | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Mariners | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Sox | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Red Sox | 53c | 188.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.59 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Mariners | 46c | 172.19$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.67 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Red Sox | 66c | 167.22$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Mariners | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Mariners | 49c | 155.14$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.71 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Mariners | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Red Sox | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Mariners | 8c | 145.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Red Sox | 79c | 133$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeed1…d086backed Red Sox | 50c | 130$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Red Sox | 54c | 120.37$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Red Sox | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac3…38dbbacked Red Sox | 53c | 109.43$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Red Sox | 75c | 107.92$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7f…4cd8backed Mariners | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Mariners | 48c | 100.46$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Mariners | 46c | 100.12$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.45 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Mariners | 47c | 99.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d99…c98bbacked Red Sox | 53c | 99.19$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Mariners | 48c | 97.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…38eabacked Red Sox | 76c | 97.41$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Red Sox | 52c | 95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7295…fc62backed Red Sox | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Red Sox | 54c | 87.04$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Mariners | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Mariners | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…5bdfbacked Mariners | 50c | 74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…8e92backed Mariners | 53c | 69.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…a921backed Mariners | 48c | 64.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Mariners | 49c | 61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2d…e348backed Red Sox | 52c | 59.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 181 | 59.1%107 W · 74 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x145d…24e4backed Mariners | 45c | 59.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Red Sox | 58c | 58.44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.