MLB · resolved market
Brewers vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d974345ee340e26b9d117428c157b18b2f130b002f4232ff63c3b21916b3f9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Brewers, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Cubs | 4c | 16,398$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.81 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cubs | 7c | 9,082$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.53 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Brewers | 68c | 6,141$4,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.44 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3d…35d0backed Brewers | 78c | 4,559$3,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.01 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Cubs | 41c | 2,835$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.21 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Brewers | 71c | 2,500$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.66 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Cubs | 23c | 2,255$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.25 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Brewers | 46c | 2,123$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.41 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Cubs | 50c | 2,015$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Brewers | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Brewers | 45c | 1,949$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.93 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Cubs | 18c | 1,532$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.26 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cubs | 53c | 1,048$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.36 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Cubs | 1c | 1,017$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cubs | 8c | 1,004$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.79 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Brewers | 48c | 834.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.74 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…07e0backed Cubs | 46c | 699.99$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Brewers | 76c | 640.24$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.31 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Brewers | 60c | 589.11$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.64 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Cubs | 35c | 584.62$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.37 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…13eebacked Cubs | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Cubs | 5c | 542.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Cubs | 54c | 452.41$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.97 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Cubs | 53c | 416.98$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Cubs | 10c | 300.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Brewers | 46c | 299$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.84 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Brewers | 46c | 248$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.92 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Brewers | 48c | 226$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.72 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Cubs | 55c | 223.17$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.33 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Brewers | 47c | 212.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.88 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…0cc5backed Cubs | 10c | 200.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cubs | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cubs | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x998c…6f97backed Cubs | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -8.0wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cubs | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9171…a0c6backed Cubs | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0b…44fdbacked Cubs | 38c | 173.61$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.95 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Cubs | 24c | 126.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Brewers | 80c | 126.25$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Brewers | 74c | 122.6$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Cubs | 24c | 121.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…ad1dbacked Brewers | 75c | 121.34$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Cubs | 54c | 116.44$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.88 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Cubs | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Cubs | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…1b66backed Brewers | 78c | 101.89$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd113…7c96backed Cubs | 20c | 100.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked Cubs | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…55a0backed Cubs | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Brewers | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Brewers | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cubs | 11c | 95.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaac1…2248backed Cubs | 20c | 92.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Brewers | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Brewers | 47c | 84.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.04 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Cubs | 54c | 83.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Brewers | 61c | 77.51$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Cubs | 55c | 70.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Brewers | 46c | 67.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed Cubs | 54c | 66.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd377…a0a5backed Cubs | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Cubs | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9539…cfdfbacked Cubs | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5241…f648backed Cubs | 54c | 47.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…54d4backed Cubs | 23c | 47.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x102c…a24cbacked Cubs | 55c | 43.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Cubs | 55c | 41.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Cubs | 52c | 38.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Cubs | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf817…80ccbacked Cubs | 55c | 36.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Brewers | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…2e65backed Brewers | 46c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Brewers | 46c | 27.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Brewers | 78c | 25.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Brewers | 45c | 23.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a10…556cbacked Brewers | 47c | 23.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Brewers | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…3237backed Brewers | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Cubs | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.