MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x044453085c58c673ab1f5856016859b3923f40cb2d917031b2f1b0a94a7d0235
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Cubs, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,631
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,631 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cubs | 50c | 12,545$6,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,320.8 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cardinals | 50c | 11,361$5,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,680.62 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cubs | 8c | 5,684$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.3 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Cardinals | 49c | 4,444$2,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,266.44 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Cubs | 50c | 2,800$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Cubs | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeef…21a8backed Cardinals | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cubs | 50c | 1,981$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.39 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cubs | 31c | 1,879$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.23 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Cubs | 23c | 1,729$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Cardinals | 61c | 1,565$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.19 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Cardinals | 47c | 1,217$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.72 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85cf…03a9backed Cubs | 52c | 1,010$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 74c | 1,006$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.07 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Cardinals | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Cubs | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa702…b3bbbacked Cubs | 52c | 990$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Cubs | 51c | 891.18$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.5 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x592a…7a5ebacked Cardinals | 50c | 872.92$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cardinals | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…a1c2backed Cardinals | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Cubs | 41c | 726.29$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.08 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Cardinals | 78c | 724.33$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.27 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…029ebacked Cubs | 40c | 605.28$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.19 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Cubs | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Cardinals | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Cubs | 13c | 570.42$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.72 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Cubs | 34c | 555.65$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.75 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Cubs | 37c | 544.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Cardinals | 50c | 530$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Cardinals | 59c | 497$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.77 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Cardinals | 49c | 405.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.18 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Cardinals | 49c | 338.87$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.2 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1421…644bbacked Cardinals | 70c | 282.39$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.72 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Cubs | 31c | 228.02$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Cubs | 32c | 223.78$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.61 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…12fabacked Cardinals | 29c | 223.32$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.6 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -15.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Cardinals | 48c | 219.44$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.11 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cardinals | 48c | 216$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Cubs | 51c | 215$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.65 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cardinals | 48c | 208.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.67 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cubs | 52c | 199.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cardinals | 47c | 199.98$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Cubs | 50c | 195$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x998c…6f97backed Cubs | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -8.0wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Cubs | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9171…a0c6backed Cardinals | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Cardinals | 70c | 143.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.22 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Cardinals | 57c | 138.1$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.92 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Cubs | 17c | 135$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Cubs | 51c | 125$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…1981backed Cubs | 26c | 114.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cubs | 42c | 103$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Cardinals | 50c | 99.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2313…3ee6backed Cubs | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Cubs | 53c | 86.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Cubs | 54c | 85.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Cardinals | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Cardinals | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Cardinals | 43c | 76.27$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Cubs | 52c | 76.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Cubs | 50c | 65.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cardinals | 68c | 62.67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Cardinals | 78c | 58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0558…6cbabacked Cubs | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cubs | 50c | 50.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Cubs | 45c | 50.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Cubs | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Cardinals | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Cubs | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Cubs | 33c | 40.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cardinals | 48c | 40.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f33…c1febacked Cardinals | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…c14fbacked Cardinals | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Cardinals | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa8…98bbbacked Cubs | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Cardinals | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 150 | 80%120 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Cardinals | 44c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed42…7419backed Cardinals | 50c | 23.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…41dcbacked Cardinals | 50c | 23.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1afa…7053backed Cubs | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…c6debacked Cardinals | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 122 | 67.2%82 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51a0…436bbacked Cardinals | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Cubs | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.