NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. Celtics

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69bddc32718e28d935de4f3543277d49977e6d7416345ae0c9864f9488d78ccd

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Celticsof Wizards, Celtics
Resolved: Nov 6, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $708,324
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $689,491

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $708,324 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3987…259ebacked Wizards	16c	231,980$37,832 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37,831.94	80	22.5%18 W · 62 L	-10.0wins	-0.12per pick	35cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Wizards	0c	135,531$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.08	390	18.2%71 W · 319 L	+27.6wins	+0.07per pick	11cpaid	+62.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Wizards	0c	62,500$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.5	298	10.4%31 W · 267 L	+22.5wins	+0.08per pick	3cpaid	+230.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b71…8044backed Wizards	17c	25,000$4,156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,155.72	89	39.3%35 W · 54 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x220c…43c8backed Wizards	15c	21,749$3,183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,182.68	71	49.3%35 W · 36 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Celtics	73c	12,905$9,415 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,489.96	690	49.4%341 W · 349 L	-30.0wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa576…89a4backed Wizards	17c	10,000$1,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,700	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+3.2wins	+0.12per pick	36cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Wizards	16c	10,000$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,599.96	123	34.1%42 W · 81 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Wizards	15c	7,000$1,070 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,069.99	352	35.8%126 W · 226 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards	1c	6,384$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.6	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Wizards	23c	6,263$1,470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,469.85	471	44.2%208 W · 263 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Wizards	16c	5,825$918 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$917.83	2,265	43.4%982 W · 1,283 L	-26.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Celtics	72c	5,000$3,578 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,422	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4520…b2dabacked Wizards	15c	4,500$695 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$695	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+40.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Wizards	27c	4,419$1,193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,193.21	260	38.1%99 W · 161 L	-9.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-24%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards	16c	4,100$656 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$656	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc550…353fbacked Wizards	16c	4,000$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$639.98	66	36.4%24 W · 42 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Wizards	16c	3,961$618 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$617.99	784	45.8%359 W · 425 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75c4…4cd0backed Wizards	16c	3,125$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.99	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Wizards	17c	2,960$493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.7	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf7…9189backed Wizards	14c	2,926$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.13per pick	24cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fce…2229backed Celtics	73c	2,722$1,994 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$728.83	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Wizards	15c	2,591$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.83	243	30.9%75 W · 168 L	-11.5wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Wizards	17c	2,359$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$403.17	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wizards	6c	2,188$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.23	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x194f…3d95backed Wizards	15c	2,100$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315	133	45.9%61 W · 72 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2984…0407backed Wizards	2c	2,053$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.05	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31c6…4200backed Wizards	1c	2,040$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.2	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-2.7wins	-0.18per pick	25cpaid	-63%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7deb…7c0abacked Wizards	10c	2,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Wizards	29c	2,000$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Wizards	16c	2,000$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	491	42.6%209 W · 282 L	+12.1wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Wizards	15c	2,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	824	42.2%348 W · 476 L	-3.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c0…734dbacked Wizards	10c	1,999$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.91	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-2.4wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84b8…1193backed Wizards	22c	1,830$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$406.66	349	42.7%149 W · 200 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Wizards	7c	1,720$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.52	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Wizards	15c	1,570$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.43	469	28.4%133 W · 336 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf327…34dbbacked Celtics	67c	1,494$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$493.69	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Wizards	16c	1,400$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224	1,198	38.8%465 W · 733 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Celtics	76c	1,252$955 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$296.58	361	48.5%175 W · 186 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2d…f033backed Wizards	16c	1,250$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x46e5…e96fbacked Wizards	17c	1,112$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Wizards	34c	1,016$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.41	475	42.3%201 W · 274 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Wizards	16c	1,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	166	33.7%56 W · 110 L	-11.6wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf3c2…26aabacked Wizards	16c	1,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	35	62.9%22 W · 13 L	+4.6wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Wizards	22c	1,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	510	37.5%191 W · 319 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Wizards	15c	999.93$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.99	618	35.4%219 W · 399 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Wizards	22c	991.87$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.08	285	37.9%108 W · 177 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x87b7…6d57backed Wizards	16c	956.69$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.07	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-62.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x400f…e712backed Wizards	31c	942.86$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.74	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85b3…18fcbacked Wizards	22c	918.81$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-4.0wins	-0.20per pick	40cpaid	-68.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Wizards	15c	901.37$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.21	432	47.5%205 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3529…a599backed Wizards	25c	800$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	74	45.9%34 W · 40 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…837dbacked Wizards	10c	702.38$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	146	39.7%58 W · 88 L	-8.2wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xced3…ce6bbacked Wizards	15c	669.23$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-4.1wins	-0.23per pick	28cpaid	-86.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Wizards	16c	666$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.56	122	39.3%48 W · 74 L	-6.6wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Wizards	31c	653.66$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	152	28.3%43 W · 109 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x88e9…7f4fbacked Wizards	17c	635.06$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.96	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Wizards	16c	625$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	337	43.6%147 W · 190 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5110…7928backed Wizards	17c	602.71$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.46	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	46cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Wizards	15c	600.32$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.05	246	34.1%84 W · 162 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Wizards	23c	598.14$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.11	470	28.1%132 W · 338 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee16…ae56backed Wizards	17c	596.29$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.37	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d19…4513backed Wizards	17c	588.24$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a68…6525backed Wizards	16c	587.5$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	50	26%13 W · 37 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	21cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Celtics	77c	530.57$410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.48	236	48.7%115 W · 121 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd99…f375backed Wizards	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	381	51.2%195 W · 186 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Wizards	10c	498.97$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.6	487	39.8%194 W · 293 L	-21.1wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda66…4aeebacked Wizards	8c	495.32$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.69	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Celtics	62c	490$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186.2	1,048	41.1%431 W · 617 L	+23.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e1d…0374backed Wizards	17c	480$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.6	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97fa…0b0cbacked Wizards	20c	450$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Celtics	80c	449.6$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.92	149	53%79 W · 70 L	+10.0wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x101f…eadbbacked Wizards	16c	418.75$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b06…449bbacked Wizards	17c	400$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	58	37.9%22 W · 36 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d6a…37bfbacked Wizards	17c	400$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	57	31.6%18 W · 39 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42eb…05f4backed Wizards	17c	352.94$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21e6…cbd8backed Celtics	78c	350.83$274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.18	114	59.6%68 W · 46 L	+8.8wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Wizards	24c	349.73$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.94	1,226	37.4%458 W · 768 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdceb…cd72backed Wizards	17c	336.12$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.14	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Wizards	16c	321.05$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.47	289	40.8%118 W · 171 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x762f…7fafbacked Wizards	7c	314$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.89	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dd6…19e8backed Wizards	16c	312.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Wizards	16c	300$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	641	39%250 W · 391 L	+2.6wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcef8…1f8dbacked Wizards	8c	300$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	57	14%8 W · 49 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15b5…aed0backed Wizards	17c	294.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+2.3wins	+0.17per pick	52cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc162…5248backed Wizards	17c	294.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…cfadbacked Wizards	32c	290$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.8	61	47.5%29 W · 32 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Wizards	21c	286.11$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.3	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f82…5ea2backed Celtics	77c	259.74$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.74	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	+30%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf301…4ce1backed Wizards	16c	250$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	+28.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd87…dd8bbacked Wizards	6c	249.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	49	12.2%6 W · 43 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d4a…21cbbacked Wizards	21c	238.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-5.9wins	-0.26per pick	47cpaid	-64.7%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Celtics	78c	228.55$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.28	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Wizards	16c	224.82$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.33	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99d4…bbeebacked Wizards	23c	215.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85de…3717backed Wizards	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	92	35.9%33 W · 59 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7107…0ff8backed Wizards	13c	200$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	59	37.3%22 W · 37 L	+4.1wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf899…2e61backed Wizards	16c	200$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe838…3832backed Celtics	65c	200$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	122	41%50 W · 72 L	+8.3wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked Wizards	23c	200$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	138	31.2%43 W · 95 L	-12.3wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Wizards vs. Celticsthis page
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)Celtics won
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)Celtics won
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)Celtics won
Wizards vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 229.5Over won
Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5Over won
Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 231.5Over won
Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 232.5Over won
Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 233.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Wizards vs. Celtics

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event