College Football · resolved market
Spread: Akron (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61d99463b05c61c5bcf4ba1215ba6a396f8c2fdc73f379ba80645482856aaabb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kent State Golden Flashesof Akron, Kent State Golden Flashes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Akron | 53c | 22,139$11,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,625.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 47c | 15,105$7,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,955.4 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 47c | 13,030$6,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,861.67 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Akron | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 44c | 1,750$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.99 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Akron | 49c | 1,568$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.68 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 54c | 918.18$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.18 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 47c | 745$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.85 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 48c | 620.92$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.88 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8005…abc0backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5680…9305backed Akron | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 45c | 197$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.91 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 49c | 188.35$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.39 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9c…45e0backed Akron | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 44c | 87.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +12.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…ce7abacked Akron | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a9…7b8cbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 43c | 51.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe172…274ebacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad5…6169backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Akron | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 57c | 40.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 44c | 40.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf3…379bbacked Akron | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 49c | 33.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Akron | 54c | 30.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…ec82backed Akron | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Akron (-5.5)this page
- Kent State Golden Flashes vs. AkronKent State Golden Flashes won
- Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Akron: O/U 46.5Over won
- Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Akron: O/U 48.5Over won
- Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Akron: O/U 49.5Over won
- O/U 47.5Over won
- Spread: Akron (-6.5)Kent State Golden Flashes won
- Spread: Akron (-7.5)Kent State Golden Flashes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.