Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Nevada Wolf Pack
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6513104e8986461883c2bd367d0a61e3f60aeeb7cd83f16553abe46e98ca584a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nevada Wolf Packof Southern Illinois Salukis, Nevada Wolf Pack
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4806…c329backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 58c | 1,699$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.66 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 17c | 1,400$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 151 | 24.5%37 W · 114 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 25c | 1,039$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.72 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 51c | 1,006$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.39 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8005…abc0backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 25c | 1,000$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 44c | 915.01$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.7 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 74c | 424$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.24 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 35c | 340$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.2 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 16c | 286.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.21 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 67c | 250$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 15c | 245$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 132 | 27.3%36 W · 96 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f1…907dbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 19c | 98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 19c | 76.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd7…70d4backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 59c | 67.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.