Premier League · resolved market
Liverpool vs. Aston Villa: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac2b991a2f90810bd12ca6f2f3dfac4a1398683d23db4ff8ab2ef1e58431a4ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 36c | 1,247$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.98 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 65c | 861.87$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.21 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 38c | 821.7$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.41 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked No | 33c | 430.15$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.2 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf23b…4957backed Yes | 62c | 320.02$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…457fbacked Yes | 62c | 320$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.4 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 67c | 300.06$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.52 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 37c | 294.87$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.6 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fef…5840backed No | 43c | 288$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…6d57backed Yes | 58c | 170$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 169$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.02 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…7630backed Yes | 63c | 158.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3623…b50dbacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Yes | 64c | 100.38$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b32…90bdbacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe825…8fc8backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…b18ebacked Yes | 63c | 97.27$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc14…1dd2backed Yes | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8866…a584backed Yes | 62c | 93.75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 39c | 80$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…ec07backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.38per pick | 60cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 35c | 76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 203 | 7.4%15 W · 188 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked No | 42c | 60.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +13.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfd…c435backed Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23bd…2ea6backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…da51backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…d772backed Yes | 64c | 30.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd76…fdf3backed Yes | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Yes | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd002…2ee8backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9be2…829fbacked Yes | 63c | 28.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd832…67e0backed Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58de…b7a5backed Yes | 62c | 16.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f1…f0e8backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liverpool vs. Aston Villa: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Liverpool vs. Aston Villa: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Liverpool (-1.5)Liverpool won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.