TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Atalanta win on 2025-10-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,754
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$117,398

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,754 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes57c35,000$20,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,099.9510952.3%57 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes46c31,575$14,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,374.653432.4%11 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-9.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No45c18,925$8,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,434.122,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No53c12,596$6,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,966.4524657.3%141 W · 105 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No53c11,830$6,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,560.081,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked No62c9,885$6,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,766.964841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No42c6,440$2,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,735.21877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+34.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No42c5,805$2,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,366.9120143.8%88 W · 113 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6504351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes53c3,827$2,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,031.0148144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,59020544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21d6…86fdbacked Yes56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.673630.6%11 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x50ff…2037backed No44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed Yes53c1,948$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.032737%10 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No46c1,588$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.569651%49 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82524939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes53c1,242$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.313948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Yes54c1,240$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.1916154%87 W · 74 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked No42c1,211$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7024060%24 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Yes36c916.72$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.02540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb263…6275backed Yes28c879.8$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503040%12 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes36c863.89$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3119154.9%50 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+27.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No51c810$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.7320033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x283d…0dadbacked Yes31c806.45$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes32c790.34$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No70c651$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.4924238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes37c541.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002951.7%15 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick37cpaid+52.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Yes37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-29.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes53c471.7$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508957.3%51 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42a8…81f5backed Yes56c446.43$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502540%10 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No60c421.98$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.2110260.8%62 W · 40 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No46c357$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.7822551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes56c325.99$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.7841943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005125.5%13 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15912540%50 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa52e…e2c4backed No42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-37.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed No44c291.34$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.151838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes37c270.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.994330.2%13 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes56c267.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013752.6%72 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No50c262.92$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.465848.3%28 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes55c250$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.514254.2%77 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7272…7135backed Yes41c244.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003030%9 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-45.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007337%27 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23c3…bdf4backed No47c219.98$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.092055%11 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked No42c214.13$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.23860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed No49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081090%9 W · 1 L+4.4wins+0.44per pick46cpaid+106.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10612649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Yes56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1123253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d2…2381backed Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+72.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd62b…86d0backed Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001275%9 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x641b…6116backed Yes31c162.35$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.33875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+97.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No42c155$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.928931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5077…5e38backed Yes44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+53.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No44c142$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.2228556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed No74c135.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.492450%12 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes55c130$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.89440.4%38 W · 56 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb6b…7b61backed No43c129.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.11963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Yes40c128$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.23737.8%14 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+13.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.0959240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Yes50c115.94$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.72666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6955…867abacked Yes37c109.06$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed No46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.77450%37 W · 37 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed No58c100.76$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.999754.6%53 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3113826.1%36 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x694e…8d20backed Yes27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d6c…7b9abacked Yes56c91.34$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.151457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ee7…12c5backed No69c86.96$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.961566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18ed…04cbbacked Yes50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0909…91cabacked Yes54c78.74$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.522941.4%12 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick58cpaid-35.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes28c76.23$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.523727%10 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9eae…98a5backed Yes40c74.21$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307058.6%41 W · 29 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fd2…f190backed Yes55c72.08$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf9…1646backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201020%2 W · 8 L-3.8wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-71%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed No44c60.86$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.089643.8%42 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7c5…a9edbacked Yes31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf845…810ebacked Yes31c55.39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40ac…ee4bbacked Yes38c55$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Yes37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Yes52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264854.2%26 W · 22 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+41.1%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xe347…9ab4backed Yes47c47.46$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.45944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4473…c215backed Yes56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4443058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x535f…fd01backed Yes46c43.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick57cpaid-76.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes53c41.6$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229353.8%50 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf270…6015backed No49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.823452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed No51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.68965.2%58 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc759…b0d2backed No51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.62740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202250%11 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No44c34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0410163.4%64 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No44c34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0428458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed No55c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.614740.8%60 W · 87 L-14.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No47c28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.846331.7%20 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37ec…0c17backed Yes56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3058…5412backed Yes56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158456%47 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a0…ca0cbacked No43c25.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.68560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60e3…08a6backed Yes56c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed Yes53c24.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1317948%86 W · 93 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc14…1dd2backed Yes55c21.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-35%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.