Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-10-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f1a49331b0ea5d6e6d598d1efc8fdc6049b768d9a45f170c57f2313066b62dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 48c | 19,559$9,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,388.52 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Yes | 60c | 5,250$3,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,077.67 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 2,774$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.57 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 9c | 1,704$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.26 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 1,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 48c | 994.57$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.39 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked No | 46c | 939.81$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Yes | 54c | 630.24$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.91 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 52c | 472.19$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.93 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes | 52c | 405.44$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.61 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.09 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 47c | 98.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 47c | 96.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Yes | 53c | 92.7$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9999…9868backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc78…2e71backed Yes | 52c | 52.15$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x932e…6f5abacked Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7d…6aeabacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab7a…8357backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked No | 47c | 37.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa161…bf03backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47b0…0237backed Yes | 53c | 33.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2f…2785backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf8…cb04backed Yes | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc14…1dd2backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd843…a597backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-10-19?this page
- Will Paris FC win on 2025-10-19?No won
- Will Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.