Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10e8afdf641a5a249fca741be9a9a9b6985989274499f0614057e32e70c51cad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Rolsterof KT Rolster, Dplus KIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,699
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Dplus KIA | 79c | 1,237$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.68 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed KT Rolster | 21c | 1,068$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.56 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed Dplus KIA | 78c | 1,026$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked KT Rolster | 22c | 1,013$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.99 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ee…fe5dbacked KT Rolster | 31c | 807.76$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.76 | 353 | 53.5%189 W · 164 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Dplus KIA | 69c | 776.58$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.84 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed Dplus KIA | 75c | 760.44$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.33 | 302 | 43%130 W · 172 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed KT Rolster | 25c | 600.44$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.44 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba8…d72bbacked KT Rolster | 47c | 475.37$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.95 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8634…1b5bbacked Dplus KIA | 53c | 452.74$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.65 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Dplus KIA | 77c | 367.86$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed KT Rolster | 23c | 347.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.85 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…356dbacked Dplus KIA | 78c | 255.71$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Dplus KIA | 68c | 255.23$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.56 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | +32.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed KT Rolster | 13c | 200.81$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.17 | 194 | 37.6%73 W · 121 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5d…3e6fbacked Dplus KIA | 78c | 192.37$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf08c…91e9backed Dplus KIA | 52c | 132.39$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Dplus KIA | 77c | 129.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 843 | 60.1%507 W · 336 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4180…692abacked Dplus KIA | 78c | 110.97$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked KT Rolster | 23c | 110$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.7 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked KT Rolster | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…bb8abacked KT Rolster | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 218 | 59.2%129 W · 89 L | +26.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +18%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Dplus KIA | 30c | 72.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 243 | 56%136 W · 107 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c5…6483backed Dplus KIA | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 269 | 58%156 W · 113 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked KT Rolster | 26c | 63.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked KT Rolster | 21c | 60$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 641 | 46.5%298 W · 343 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fc…db71backed Dplus KIA | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 73 | 69.9%51 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5b…4ef4backed KT Rolster | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce68…f6b8backed KT Rolster | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…7060backed Dplus KIA | 53c | 43.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6512…213bbacked KT Rolster | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked KT Rolster | 51c | 38.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2514…5476backed Dplus KIA | 78c | 29.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Dplus KIA | 58c | 27.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 488 | 44.3%216 W · 272 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Dplus KIA | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a41…c739backed Dplus KIA | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…e3ddbacked Dplus KIA | 79c | 25.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked KT Rolster | 44c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…de20backed Dplus KIA | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 274 | 55.8%153 W · 121 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc31…431cbacked Dplus KIA | 76c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 201 | 71.1%143 W · 58 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)this page
- Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)KT Rolster won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2KT Rolster won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 1 WinnerKT Rolster won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 2 WinnerKT Rolster won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.