Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83e357c0cb20eb8162f5fc2d82294786052081dbca71e893162e26a495b0431d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Rolsterof Dplus KIA, KT Rolster
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed KT Rolster | 72c | 4,586$3,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.71 | 414 | 39.6%164 W · 250 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Dplus KIA | 29c | 1,800$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 119 | 36.1%43 W · 76 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Dplus KIA | 18c | 1,138$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.31 | 417 | 43.9%183 W · 234 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Dplus KIA | 31c | 1,070$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.69 | 537 | 53.6%288 W · 249 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked KT Rolster | 69c | 933.33$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed Dplus KIA | 31c | 817.25$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…761fbacked KT Rolster | 73c | 690$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.3 | 122 | 60.7%74 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba8…d72bbacked Dplus KIA | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked Dplus KIA | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 440 | 46.4%204 W · 236 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Dplus KIA | 31c | 319.84$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa96…2d83backed Dplus KIA | 34c | 249.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.95 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac42…60d1backed KT Rolster | 71c | 225$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked KT Rolster | 66c | 184.09$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.59 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…46dcbacked Dplus KIA | 29c | 170$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 427 | 51.5%220 W · 207 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed KT Rolster | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd1…9249backed Dplus KIA | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Dplus KIA | 25c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed KT Rolster | 66c | 60.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Dplus KIA | 30c | 49.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e2…68f1backed Dplus KIA | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 212 | 56.1%119 W · 93 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c36…e462backed KT Rolster | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd6…3beebacked KT Rolster | 71c | 22.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed KT Rolster | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed KT Rolster | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)this page
- Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)KT Rolster won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2KT Rolster won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 1 WinnerKT Rolster won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 2 WinnerKT Rolster won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.