Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3131fd0266a1e77fb690d67b318d101fdcbd48772d92036bc39301239a68cd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,831
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Under | 50c | 15,100$7,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,545.99 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Over | 50c | 7,697$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,850.03 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…c53cbacked Over | 50c | 3,770$1,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.84 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 51c | 1,333$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.16 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Over | 54c | 912.57$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5217…ec29backed Over | 49c | 609.32$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.57 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 51c | 491.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.51 | 194 | 37.6%73 W · 121 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over | 49c | 290$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.1 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 51c | 282.87$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.55 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe783…aa3abacked Over | 50c | 202.2$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50f2…a5b1backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Over | 49c | 156.23$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.55 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Under | 72c | 125.38$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 61c | 110.78$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.51 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…306fbacked Under | 51c | 99.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 191 | 61.8%118 W · 73 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…5808backed Under | 77c | 84.74$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 124 | 46%57 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Over | 49c | 84.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 49c | 82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 42c | 77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 29c | 67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeafe…c310backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 53c | 56.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 47c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 117 | 70.1%82 W · 35 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 53c | 41.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7b…3ab2backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5357…3c32backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…cefdbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…bf96backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 42c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 54c | 25.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)KT Rolster won
- Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)KT Rolster won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2KT Rolster won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 1 WinnerKT Rolster won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 2 WinnerKT Rolster won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.