Fifa International · resolved market
IR Iran to score first vs. Belgium?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b14a52a9dbcc34b75d5f37a33126df98fed9656f9ec8da13f2bbc6a8507fcbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 25c | 2,600$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.59 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 67c | 2,591$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.85 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…64c9backed Yes | 19c | 2,347$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 232 | 24.1%56 W · 176 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Yes | 28c | 2,180$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.48 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 20c | 1,800$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.97 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 9cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 77c | 1,690$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.95 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 78c | 1,354$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.08 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 73c | 1,192$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.8 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 78c | 1,179$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.37 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…ec6abacked Yes | 26c | 1,038$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 78 | 24.4%19 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 20c | 918.31$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.59 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 42c | 831.98$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.52 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 53c | 808.7$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.06 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 22c | 703.14$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.66 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 56c | 587.15$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.94 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…239dbacked Yes | 19c | 536.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes | 22c | 450.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 165 | 49.1%81 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb115…4e6fbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 75c | 388.64$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.16 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 80c | 388.17$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.54 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea2…de87backed Yes | 23c | 382.61$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 123 | 20.3%25 W · 98 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…191cbacked Yes | 25c | 376.84$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.21 | 139 | 22.3%31 W · 108 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 80c | 356.7$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.36 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf288…3c08backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked No | 30c | 224.17$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.35 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 74c | 213.4$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.45 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 76c | 203.94$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.27 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…cd2bbacked Yes | 19c | 187.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x946e…1225backed Yes | 16c | 186.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 93 | 15.1%14 W · 79 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x851f…642fbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 68c | 181.39$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.71 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 77c | 169$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 79c | 165.89$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.18 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d0…db40backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb9…1735backed Yes | 26c | 155.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 74c | 149.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…2548backed No | 76c | 144.74$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 23c | 140.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd004…d54abacked Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…f694backed No | 37c | 136$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.68 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4849…2e69backed Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9a…1c50backed Yes | 24c | 126.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6da5…be77backed Yes | 30c | 125.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7393…751abacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 200 | 3%6 W · 194 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc1…ba93backed No | 77c | 122.34$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x014b…c795backed Yes | 22c | 111.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87cb…643abacked Yes | 23c | 111.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc645…0072backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7721…e537backed No | 37c | 106.15$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f48…f8c8backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 26c | 103$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d30…363cbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1132…1cb4backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x404d…66c4backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbc…a08fbacked Yes | 24c | 87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 80c | 86.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.1 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4765…ca11backed Yes | 23c | 86.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 12.9%15 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f44…27cabacked Yes | 18c | 85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 20c | 81.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff6…cc6fbacked Yes | 42c | 71.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57a2…9a21backed No | 77c | 69.83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf2…6599backed Yes | 44c | 68.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Yes | 22c | 68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 348 | 44.3%154 W · 194 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…5099backed Yes | 25c | 64.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 240 | 50%120 W · 120 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b92…f317backed Yes | 19c | 64.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda2d…a236backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…a614backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4e…d20dbacked Yes | 23c | 56.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Yes | 80c | 56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 76c | 52.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c18…926abacked Yes | 22c | 45.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 78c | 44.73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 41c | 41.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…94ddbacked Yes | 27c | 40.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcea…629cbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6220…36f4backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 74c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf08c…91e9backed Yes | 80c | 25.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +276.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 74c | 23.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 101 | 66.3%67 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 78c | 13.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.83 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IR Iran to score first vs. Belgium?this page
- Belgium to score first vs. IR Iran?No won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Neither team to score first?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.