Fifa International · resolved market
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Neither team to score first?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcaa6e96713e7e9e0866e2ea0a972c54a6b0635244e2c47c94c69a8d8de46860
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,925
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,925 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16c7…3931backed Yes | 7c | 7,621$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,120.52 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 74c | 3,997$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.72 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 50c | 2,610$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.29 | 361 | 23.5%85 W · 276 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x806e…2e52backed Yes | 24c | 1,788$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.56 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 64c | 1,523$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.55 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…be52backed Yes | 7c | 1,114$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.29 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +188.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 5c | 942.79$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.78 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 13c | 929.95$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.53 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 70c | 907.73$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.69 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…8220backed Yes | 8c | 866.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.67 | 282 | 24.1%68 W · 214 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.23 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…bd59backed No | 72c | 690.13$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.9 | 221 | 47.1%104 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 20c | 513.22$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3058…7767backed Yes | 21c | 480$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20c2…e754backed Yes | 54c | 459.7$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.79 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +31%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 48c | 435$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.5 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…64a7backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.57 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…191cbacked Yes | 31c | 370.35$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.29 | 139 | 22.3%31 W · 108 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 69c | 307.15$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.83 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 80c | 300$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.71 | 756 | 30.4%230 W · 526 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…5cdebacked Yes | 58c | 256.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13b3…7801backed Yes | 8c | 255.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.02 | 102 | 23.5%24 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48a4…8c2ebacked Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0392…ab02backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x038f…78a8backed Yes | 9c | 215.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 18cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75c6…86b4backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 7c | 159$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.99 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d76…92b5backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53a1…b1b0backed Yes | 61c | 130.48$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.48 | 179 | 59.2%106 W · 73 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…db6dbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…f087backed Yes | 50c | 124.83$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.28 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce7…896cbacked Yes | 63c | 123.07$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.12 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Yes | 53c | 112.32$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.32 | 137 | 56.9%78 W · 59 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…fc51backed Yes | 57c | 107.14$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.14 | 105 | 34.3%36 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ad…1014backed Yes | 25c | 104$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77c3…00c8backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8d…0b73backed Yes | 31c | 96.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.56 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661c…695bbacked Yes | 55c | 90.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 116 | 65.5%76 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked Yes | 50c | 86.69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 455 | 36.9%168 W · 287 L | -26.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0367…e7fbbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 73 | 19.2%14 W · 59 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked Yes | 77c | 75.32$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 135 | 48.1%65 W · 70 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe958…788abacked Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…625ebacked Yes | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae7…cc66backed Yes | 17c | 66.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.56 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x545f…a7fdbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…5099backed Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 240 | 50%120 W · 120 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 79c | 46.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e8…3664backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e68…ff8abacked No | 36c | 41.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…155ebacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 32c | 36.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 40c | 27.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Neither team to score first?this page
- Belgium to score first vs. IR Iran?No won
- IR Iran to score first vs. Belgium?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.