Fifa International · resolved market
Belgium to score first vs. IR Iran?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cb5aba8a9a0f99007db01df92583c877456abca90f7a9fe78c3963abbada0b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 71c | 5,759$4,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,093.6 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 24c | 5,332$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.47 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked No | 28c | 4,822$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,471.93 | 207 | 31.4%65 W · 142 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d52…4b56backed Yes | 72c | 3,056$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 27c | 2,306$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.5 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed No | 73c | 2,000$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.96 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 28c | 1,847$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.5 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 28c | 1,684$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.81 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 52c | 1,517$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.85 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa426…7b84backed Yes | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 18c | 1,295$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.52 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 9cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 28c | 999.98$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.99 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…c2e4backed Yes | 76c | 921.05$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Yes | 73c | 821.92$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…9aabbacked Yes | 73c | 808.33$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.55 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 32c | 807.49$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.33 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 15c | 800$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a6…6520backed Yes | 75c | 586.67$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 40c | 581.32$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.46 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x912b…ae02backed Yes | 17c | 558.82$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…b496backed Yes | 76c | 526.32$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 31c | 501$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.69 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 31c | 455$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.76 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…2746backed Yes | 72c | 428.46$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.49 | 197 | 39.6%78 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 66c | 419.1$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.72 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…9926backed Yes | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 214 | 43%92 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53b4…2e88backed No | 30c | 395.9$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.13 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7f…3797backed No | 28c | 390$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.8 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed No | 28c | 346.62$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.57 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0519…3b47backed Yes | 65c | 305.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 53c | 296.84$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.64 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 78c | 295.4$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.45 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe49e…dbc4backed Yes | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51cf…106cbacked Yes | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 153 | 21.6%33 W · 120 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661c…695bbacked Yes | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 116 | 65.5%76 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked Yes | 18c | 253.01$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 455 | 36.9%168 W · 287 L | -26.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3d…0b5abacked Yes | 29c | 251.1$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.79 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked No | 77c | 224.17$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.72 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 41c | 203.68$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.33 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Yes | 76c | 197.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.15 | 91 | 68.1%62 W · 29 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5c…5a19backed Yes | 73c | 190.93$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.38 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…23edbacked Yes | 72c | 180.56$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 9c | 169.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 29c | 165.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.03 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 27c | 163.51$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.36 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…a92bbacked Yes | 73c | 158.82$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…6de4backed Yes | 73c | 157.82$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…239dbacked Yes | 62c | 153.29$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…9756backed Yes | 73c | 147.95$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 28c | 143.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.97 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 72c | 143.52$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.34 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a1…2a16backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe79c…930ebacked Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf24…a697backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x731b…83a2backed Yes | 79c | 126.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…9766backed Yes | 24c | 120.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 27c | 120$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.6 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x920f…10d5backed No | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2f…981abacked Yes | 72c | 111.63$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0c…5034backed Yes | 72c | 111.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 116 | 34.5%40 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 25c | 109.74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.73 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21fe…da90backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 96 | 28.1%27 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c7…d575backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked No | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ae…89d5backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 67c | 88.64$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.46 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x372c…931bbacked Yes | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87cb…643abacked Yes | 70c | 82$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a34…6cf6backed Yes | 75c | 81.52$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4005…e29dbacked Yes | 67c | 76.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…625ebacked Yes | 28c | 71.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd805…d43ebacked Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58cf…6b6fbacked Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0392…ab02backed Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 396 | 48.7%193 W · 203 L | -23.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd18…066abacked Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b7…448bbacked Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a50…ca35backed Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2cf…404dbacked Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d98…6594backed Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 65c | 62.44$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…a8fdbacked Yes | 73c | 58.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…bea8backed Yes | 72c | 56.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcb…5c30backed Yes | 75c | 54.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x531f…778fbacked Yes | 74c | 53.32$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e2…d5b2backed Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf875…814dbacked Yes | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…129cbacked Yes | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe73…0818backed Yes | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 28c | 39.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1144…4b04backed No | 31c | 34.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 71c | 33.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcebe…df95backed Yes | 72c | 33.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belgium to score first vs. IR Iran?this page
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Neither team to score first?Yes won
- IR Iran to score first vs. Belgium?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.