AI · resolved market
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 23, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x229263ccd4a5d9550584284ef55e3e008cadace7785658c50d6657267929662d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 5c | 2,717$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.29 | 267 | 4.9%13 W · 254 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f5…31a3backed Yes | 3c | 2,487$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32a3…06a2backed Yes | 2c | 1,598$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 12c | 1,015$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.75 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…5850backed Yes | 13c | 945.43$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.32 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb0…72fcbacked Yes | 22c | 697.09$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.76 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 3c | 611$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 139 | 8.6%12 W · 127 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x263d…7b03backed Yes | 3c | 300.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272c…7f07backed Yes | 10c | 282$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 8c | 172.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 323 | 29.1%94 W · 229 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 16c | 167.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 297 | 30.6%91 W · 206 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes | 9c | 166.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -44%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes | 12c | 101$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 33c | 58.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 256 | 32.8%84 W · 172 L | -24.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…34dabacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…0124backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf52…7839backed No | 71c | 43.09$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 23, 2026?this page
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 10, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 11, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 12, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 13, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 16, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 17, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 18, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 20, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 22, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 24, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 25, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 26, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 29, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 30, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 5, 2026?No won
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 9, 2026?No won
- Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.