Tweets · resolved market
Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d40669103d257d529a720f5fffc407eb9669735e551149270e54b401fe95d34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,999
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf257…1950backed Yes | 21c | 1,115$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.04 | 424 | 24.5%104 W · 320 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7374…38ffbacked No | 78c | 931.83$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.34 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3b45backed Yes | 17c | 549.1$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.37 | 317 | 43.2%137 W · 180 L | +28.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…1f3ebacked Yes | 11c | 544$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.22 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 22c | 537.08$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.43 | 312 | 42.9%134 W · 178 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 23c | 475.35$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.11 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 20c | 443.51$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.16 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 18c | 432.1$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.87 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 79c | 373.71$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.03 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 23c | 356.14$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.68 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…26ffbacked Yes | 15c | 335.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 78c | 232.74$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…54cfbacked Yes | 25c | 226.95$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 412 | 20.6%85 W · 327 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef32…265cbacked Yes | 6c | 214$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f9…a476backed Yes | 22c | 183.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 25c | 183.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 76c | 180.55$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 336 | 70.2%236 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 78c | 173$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 78c | 150.32$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 12c | 150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 430 | 27%116 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22fa…8135backed Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f1…3b8ebacked Yes | 19c | 149.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 69c | 145$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.09 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 208 | 57.2%119 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 11c | 122.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5a…edf2backed Yes | 27c | 112.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 76c | 102.21$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 221 | 60.2%133 W · 88 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 427 | 19.2%82 W · 345 L | +23.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dae…0590backed Yes | 20c | 80.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed Yes | 24c | 54.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…e169backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 58cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…3428backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed No | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 72c | 41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 148 | 64.9%96 W · 52 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 74c | 39.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7f…6413backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 79c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 69c | 22.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 77c | 20.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8e…2175backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 77c | 19.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 66c | 16.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?this page
- Will White House post 140-159 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 160-179 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 200+ posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.