Tweets · resolved market
Will White House post 200+ posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e113aeec4ef3e96b23a284bc9a3d96d2956f4d97cf905f642f9f400949b1ed8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,392
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,392 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 78c | 1,375$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.18 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed No | 23c | 1,051$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.07 | 424 | 24.5%104 W · 320 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7374…38ffbacked Yes | 58c | 733.63$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.52 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 24c | 572.79$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.16 | 189 | 49.2%93 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 69c | 474.44$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.4 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed No | 43c | 367.04$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.11 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 32c | 319$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.59 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee9…7d37backed Yes | 57c | 318.83$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.15 | 109 | 24.8%27 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 33c | 311.67$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.48 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…a079backed Yes | 78c | 300$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.81 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…54cfbacked Yes | 68c | 222.75$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.1 | 412 | 20.6%85 W · 327 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked No | 26c | 202.53$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.97 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 12c | 201.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 54c | 167.96$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.47 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 24c | 144.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 276 | 47.8%132 W · 144 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 17c | 123.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 208 | 57.2%119 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 26c | 110$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed Yes | 71c | 77.83$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 36c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 309 | 55%170 W · 139 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 54c | 73.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa48c…5506backed No | 56c | 70.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…c11cbacked Yes | 78c | 69.05$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…e169backed Yes | 63c | 68.94$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 41c | 63.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78c5…f623backed No | 25c | 60.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x847c…9ff8backed Yes | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f43…f942backed No | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…89d2backed Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8007…a8f4backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…3428backed Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 28c | 49.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 210 | 63.3%133 W · 77 L | +22.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 31c | 43.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 221 | 60.2%133 W · 88 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…67b8backed No | 29c | 40.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked No | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5a…edf2backed Yes | 76c | 39.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdf…336cbacked No | 56c | 29.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 35c | 29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…b31dbacked No | 54c | 27.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…5506backed No | 53c | 22.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…fd70backed Yes | 63c | 20.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…8363backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2225…bee7backed Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fe…bad3backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d3…e307backed Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…5630backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will White House post 200+ posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?this page
- Will White House post 140-159 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 160-179 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.