Tweets · resolved market
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee60cbff9d2b726eb4cc93fc3de25d4201695a52f5fa6ccf0f0528768f1ab4fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed Yes | 45c | 656.97$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.13 | 424 | 24.5%104 W · 320 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4f…c2f1backed Yes | 41c | 603.23$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.04 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +18.0wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 40c | 544.3$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.55 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 55c | 467.74$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.78 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 27c | 364.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 54c | 256.59$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.04 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 39c | 242.8$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.87 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 47c | 231.58$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.18 | 208 | 57.2%119 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…6510backed Yes | 71c | 226.65$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 47c | 202.48$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.63 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d6…6e3cbacked Yes | 52c | 169.59$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.98 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 52c | 134.67$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.31 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked No | 57c | 130.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +12.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 54c | 109$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.14 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 37c | 107.26$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.07 | 186 | 8.6%16 W · 170 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e53…5c9dbacked Yes | 29c | 100.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…e169backed No | 60c | 96.01$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f43…f942backed Yes | 32c | 94.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 59c | 89.33$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…4ffabacked No | 47c | 82.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b0…f102backed Yes | 72c | 77.91$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e50…98f0backed Yes | 58c | 61.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 330 | 27.9%92 W · 238 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9955…85afbacked No | 53c | 61.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 183 | 57.9%106 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a6…cca7backed Yes | 33c | 61.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 46c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 210 | 63.3%133 W · 77 L | +22.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 45c | 54.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb51a…67aabacked Yes | 46c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 67c | 52.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 336 | 70.2%236 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 64c | 49.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 47c | 48.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 276 | 47.8%132 W · 144 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 36c | 48.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 26c | 46.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 28c | 46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…fd70backed Yes | 46c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 31c | 43.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 312 | 42.9%134 W · 178 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…7004backed Yes | 48c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 68c | 38.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 221 | 60.2%133 W · 88 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f3…9215backed Yes | 42c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e07…0439backed Yes | 36c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 48c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 309 | 55%170 W · 139 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274d…134dbacked Yes | 59c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 39cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked Yes | 44c | 31.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7843…fd3cbacked Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc901…0c1dbacked Yes | 45c | 29.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x126e…c360backed No | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed No | 70c | 21.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 430 | 27%116 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?this page
- Will Zelenskyy post 0-19 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No won
- Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No won
- Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No won
- Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.